GDF ASX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Name: GDF weekly investor report
Creator: Sharemaestro
License: https://sharemaestro.com/data-license/

Garda Property Group · Real Estate · Real Estate Services

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Latest close 1.08 AUD

4.6% latest week

Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 41.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.6%, after a 5.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 62/100.

Setup score 45 out of 100

Latest Close 1.08 AUD 31 Jul 2026

1W Return 4.6% latest completed week

4W Return 5.9% short-term follow-through

12W Return 2.8% quarterly tape

Trend Breadth 23.1% 12 of 52 weeks active

Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average

What is working

Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.

What could go wrong

The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.99% based on similar historical setup states.
Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.

What to watch next

Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.

Price follow-through 4.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 5.9%. Indicator stack 13/65 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 44.99% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 62/100 5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.

01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 41.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.6%, after a 5.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Position in the 52-week range

Close Trend Fair

0.99 AUD 41.1% 1.22 AUD

Range location41.1%Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.

Trend distance-0.1%Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.

Fair-value gap1.5%Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.

High-water gap-11.2%Distance from the latest 52-week high.

02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction

6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul

Up week Down week

Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0412-week average 0.02

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.

Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.

Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.

Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.

Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.

Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.9% over four weeks, 2.8% over 12 weeks, and -11.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.6%

4W5.9%

12W2.8%

26W-4.9%

52W-11.9%

Active trend streak0 weeks

Active weeks in one year12

Trend breadth23.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership

Pressure0.21Latest activity-pressure read.

Pressure change137.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.

Leadership-4.80Latest relative-leadership reading.

RS change50.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.

04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis

Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 79% Model confidence 42%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength4/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.

Value12/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.

Quality8/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.

Momentum15/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.

Growth7/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.

How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework11/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E: -
Price / sales: 8.2x
EV / EBITDA: 214.1x
Free-cash-flow yield: -1.2%

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin: 75.6%
Operating margin: 52.8%
Free-cash-flow margin: -22.4%
Return on invested capital: 1.8%

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth: -17.8%
EPS growth: -
Free-cash-flow growth: -186.3%
Piotroski F-score: 3/9

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield: 8.2%
Buyback yield: 0.0%
Shareholder yield: 8.2%
Net debt / EBITDA: 115.9x

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment62/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 5 relevant articles.

1 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negative

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal

06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.

Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.

52-week drawdown-11.2%Distance below the 52-week high.

13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

6 Feb 6 Mar 3 Apr 1 May 29 May 26 Jun 31 Jul

Weeks higher9 of 2616 weeks finished lower.

Best week+6.4%Week of 12 Jun.

Worst week-4.0%Week of 3 Jul.

Latest week+4.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2

Modest gains7

Flat weeks1

Modest losses16

Sharp losses0

Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.

Base vol2.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.

Up/down split18/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.

Average skew2.0% / -1.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.

07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

SectorAU Real Estate

4-week rank8 / 53

Group average1.1%

Trend breadth28.3%

Trend28.3%active weekly trend signals

MD73.6%positive activity pressure

RS28.3%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

EGH · ASX12.9%DGH · ASX12.6%DXS · ASX9.7%RFF · ASX9.6%ACU · ASX7.7%

IndustryAU Real Estate Services

4-week rank5 / 9

Group average3.7%

Trend breadth33.3%

Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals

MD55.6%positive activity pressure

RS44.4%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

EGH · ASX12.9%DGH · ASX12.6%ACU · ASX7.7%LED · ASX7.1%GDF · ASX5.9%

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape40/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 40/100 tape read.

Indicator analysis11/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.99%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.99% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors8/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 13; Small Cap Core rank 78 SVQF11/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 233.0 of 262 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment62/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 5 relevant articles.

Garda Property Group (ASX:GDF) Shares Reflect Profit Recovery And Debt Unease Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Week	Close	Return	Trend Line	Fair Value	Pressure	Leadership	Volume	Trend
31 Jul 2026	1.08 AUD	4.6%	1.09 AUD	1.07 AUD	0.21	-4.80	312.1K	Off
24 Jul 2026	1.04 AUD	0.2%	1.09 AUD	1.07 AUD	-0.10	-7.15	321.2K	Off
17 Jul 2026	1.03 AUD	1.0%	1.09 AUD	1.07 AUD	-0.25	-7.84	59.3K	Off
10 Jul 2026	1.02 AUD	0.0%	1.10 AUD	1.07 AUD	-0.44	-9.06	227.8K	Off
3 Jul 2026	1.02 AUD	-4.0%	1.10 AUD	1.07 AUD	-0.56	-9.71	279.6K	Off
26 Jun 2026	1.07 AUD	2.3%	1.11 AUD	1.07 AUD	-0.88	-5.41	24.5K	Off
19 Jun 2026	1.04 AUD	-1.8%	1.11 AUD	1.07 AUD	-1.25	-8.42	29.3K	Off
12 Jun 2026	1.06 AUD	6.4%	1.11 AUD	1.07 AUD	-1.35	-6.64	195.9K	Off
5 Jun 2026	1.00 AUD	-1.0%	1.11 AUD	1.07 AUD	-1.51	-10.54	225.2K	Off
29 May 2026	1.01 AUD	-1.1%	1.12 AUD	1.07 AUD	-1.48	-10.93	63.2K	Off
22 May 2026	1.02 AUD	-1.4%	1.12 AUD	1.07 AUD	-1.29	-9.38	415.7K	Off
15 May 2026	1.03 AUD	-1.9%	1.12 AUD	1.07 AUD	-1.28	-7.94	237.8K	Off
8 May 2026	1.05 AUD	-1.4%	1.13 AUD	1.07 AUD	-1.17	-7.48	142.6K	Off
1 May 2026	1.07 AUD	-0.9%	1.13 AUD	1.07 AUD	-1.11	-6.12	660.1K	Off

How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.