MSDL NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund · Financial Services · Asset Management

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 14.61 USD
-3.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 31.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.7%, after a -5.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 34 out of 100
Latest Close 14.61 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.7% latest completed week
4W Return -5.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -2.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.47% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.7% Latest completed week; four-week move -5.1%. Indicator stack 0/52 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 44.47% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bearish 49/100 conviction; expected move 5.1%. News sentiment 51/100 55 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 31.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.7%, after a -5.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3312-week average 0.18

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.33Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.1% over four weeks, -2.8% over 12 weeks, and -13.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.7%
4W-5.1%
12W-2.8%
26W-6.9%
52W-13.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.32Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-46.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.92Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-25.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength30/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Value36/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Quality72/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Momentum19/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Growth18/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
21.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
66.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
30.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
73.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
1.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-6.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-54.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
12.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
3.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
16.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
12.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

MSDL shows bearish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 3.25, expected move of 5.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction49/100
Expected move5.1%
Put/call volume3.25
Pressure-52
Speculation18
Volatility38
Trend agreement75
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

10 positive · 40 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.0%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-6.3%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week-3.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses14
Sharp losses2
Recent vol1.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -1.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape31/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis35/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.33; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.47%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.47% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors39/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 15; Small Cap Core rank 24 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options47/100

MSDL shows bearish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 3.25, expected move of 5.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 5.1% Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

Acadian Asset Management (NYSE:AAMI) Reaches New 52-Week High After Earnings Beat Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202614.61 USD-3.7%14.95 USD16.55 USD0.32-12.923.4MOff
24 Jul 202615.17 USD-1.9%15.00 USD16.56 USD0.49-9.211.9MOff
17 Jul 202615.46 USD-0.7%15.02 USD16.57 USD0.61-8.601.9MOff
10 Jul 202615.57 USD1.1%15.04 USD16.58 USD0.65-9.992.1MOff
3 Jul 202615.40 USD2.8%15.06 USD16.59 USD0.60-10.342.3MOff
26 Jun 202614.97 USD0.3%15.10 USD16.60 USD0.50-11.492.6MOff
19 Jun 202614.93 USD-1.2%15.14 USD16.61 USD0.46-14.413.7MOff
12 Jun 202615.10 USD2.6%15.17 USD16.62 USD0.30-13.262.7MOff
5 Jun 202614.71 USD-1.8%15.19 USD16.64 USD0.29-15.632.7MOff
29 May 202614.97 USD2.2%15.22 USD16.65 USD0.31-16.901.9MOff
22 May 202614.65 USD-1.0%15.25 USD16.67 USD0.37-18.183.0MOff
15 May 202614.80 USD-1.6%15.30 USD16.68 USD0.39-17.343.3MOff
8 May 202615.03 USD-1.7%15.33 USD16.70 USD0.36-16.523.1MOff
1 May 202615.29 USD1.8%15.34 USD16.71 USD0.07-13.693.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.