MEX Equity Snapshot

AA1 Weekly Equity Report

Alcoa Corporation

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 1,167 MXN 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -9.2% latest completed week
4W Return 7.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 12.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 73.1% 38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.2x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production, and energy generation business in Australia, Brazil, Canada, Iceland, Norway, Spain, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Alumina and Aluminum. It operates bauxite and other aluminous ores mining and processes bauxite into alumina for sale to aluminum smelter customers and customers who process it into industrial chemical products through supply contracts to third parties, as well as aluminum smelting and casting businesses. The company also offers aluminium powder and scrap and primary aluminum in the …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

AA1 closed the latest completed week at 1,167 MXN. The 4-week return is 7.4% and the 12-week return is 12.2%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is 0.03. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 64/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 10.1%
Volume 0.2x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 85 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 78 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 59 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 100 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 10 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 50 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
1,060 MXN
Vs Trend Line
10.1%
Fair Value
697.2 MXN
Vs Fair Value
67.4%
52W High
1,285 MXN
52W Low
532.7 MXN
Drawdown
-9.2%
Range Position
84.3%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -9.2%
4W 7.4%
12W 12.2%
26W 37.3%
52W 115.2%

Trend read

Active Streak
38 weeks
52W Active Weeks
38
52W Active Breadth
73.1%
Sector Scope
MX Basic Materials
Sector Rank
46 of 53
Sector Percentile
13.5%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

MX Aluminum

Tracked Peers
1
4W Rank
1 of 1
Avg 1W
-9.2%
Avg 4W
7.4%
Trend Breadth
100.0%
Positive RS
100.0%
AA1 · MEX 7.4%
Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
0.03
4W MD Change
105.6%
Relative Strength
28.08
4W RS Change
8.7%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
39.86%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
25
13W Average
103
52W Average
1.3K
Vs 13W
0.2x
Vs 52W
0.0x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
7.5%
52W Volatility
6.6%
Upside Weeks
25
Downside Weeks
24
Downside Breadth
46.2%
Avg Gain / Loss
7.3% / -3.9%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
MEX
Country
MX
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Aluminum
Currency
MXN
Market Cap
339.1B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 38-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.

Risk signals

  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 1,167 MXN -9.2% 1,060 MXN 697.2 MXN 0.03 28.08 25 On
5 Jun 2026 1,285 MXN 0.0% 1,045 MXN 693.7 MXN -0.04 46.53 0 On
29 May 2026 1,285 MXN 4.9% 1,024 MXN 689.4 MXN -0.22 43.43 112 On
22 May 2026 1,225 MXN 12.7% 1,006 MXN 685.1 MXN -0.45 39.24 362 On
15 May 2026 1,087 MXN -1.6% 990.4 MXN 681.4 MXN -0.46 25.83 31 On
8 May 2026 1,105 MXN -0.5% 976.9 MXN 678.5 MXN -0.19 25.68 390 On
1 May 2026 1,110 MXN -7.4% 961.6 MXN 675.7 MXN 0.02 31.35 10 On
24 Apr 2026 1,199 MXN -3.7% 946.1 MXN 672.5 MXN 0.17 40.65 0 On
17 Apr 2026 1,245 MXN -2.4% 925.6 MXN 669.0 MXN 0.03 46.72 275 On
10 Apr 2026 1,275 MXN 5.4% 904.0 MXN 665.3 MXN -0.14 51.86 21 On
3 Apr 2026 1,210 MXN 16.3% 881.9 MXN 661.8 MXN -0.12 46.77 101 On
27 Mar 2026 1,040 MXN 0.0% 861.4 MXN 658.7 MXN -0.12 33.48 0 On
20 Mar 2026 1,040 MXN -9.6% 846.7 MXN 657.0 MXN 0.26 39.57 18 On
13 Mar 2026 1,150 MXN 9.2% 831.6 MXN 655.1 MXN 0.43 51.59 25 On