SXP TOR Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Supremex Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Latest close 3.65 CAD
1.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 39.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 0.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 48 out of 100
Latest Close 3.65 CAD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.7% latest completed week
4W Return 0.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 38.5% 20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 39.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 0.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4212-week average 0.45

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.42Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.0% over four weeks, 1.7% over 12 weeks, and 1.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.7%
4W0.0%
12W1.7%
26W-4.1%
52W1.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.28Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change164.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.66Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change5.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength68/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Value95/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Quality23/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Momentum22/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Growth23/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework44/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
8.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
5.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
3.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-2.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-36.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
19.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
20.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.

1 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.6%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-4.4%Week of 30 Jan.
Latest week+1.7%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains9
Flat weeks4
Modest losses11
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20263.65 CAD1.7%3.66 CAD3.42 CAD0.28-9.6648.0KOff
17 Jul 20263.59 CAD-2.4%3.65 CAD3.43 CAD0.13-11.3032.3KOff
10 Jul 20263.68 CAD-1.1%3.65 CAD3.44 CAD0.29-9.6147.9KOff
3 Jul 20263.72 CAD1.9%3.64 CAD3.45 CAD-0.08-8.9151.7KOff
26 Jun 20263.65 CAD-2.7%3.64 CAD3.45 CAD-0.44-10.1936.0KOff
19 Jun 20263.75 CAD5.6%3.64 CAD3.46 CAD-0.60-7.9813.0KOff
12 Jun 20263.55 CAD-1.9%3.63 CAD3.46 CAD-0.94-13.1419.7KOff
5 Jun 20263.62 CAD0.8%3.63 CAD3.47 CAD-0.93-10.5114.5KOff
29 May 20263.59 CAD0.0%3.62 CAD3.47 CAD-0.80-12.4759.8KOff
22 May 20263.59 CAD0.0%3.62 CAD3.48 CAD-0.89-12.0536.0KOff
15 May 20263.59 CAD-1.6%3.62 CAD3.48 CAD-0.94-10.7428.8KOff
8 May 20263.65 CAD1.6%3.62 CAD3.49 CAD-0.90-10.22105.8KOff
1 May 20263.59 CAD0.8%3.62 CAD3.49 CAD-0.84-11.5220.5KOff
24 Apr 20263.56 CAD-1.6%3.63 CAD3.50 CAD-0.49-12.6154.3KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.