MRX NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Marex Group plc Ordinary Shares · Financial Services · Capital Markets

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Latest close 64.92 USD
-1.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 29.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a 3.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 48/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 8d.

Setup score 68 out of 100
Latest Close 64.92 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.0% latest completed week
4W Return 3.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 55.8% 29 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 29-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 13 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.8%. Indicator stack 76/66 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 56.84% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 48/100 conviction; expected move 11.3%. News sentiment 58/100 49 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 8d Next report is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 29.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a 3.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9612-week average 0.93

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.96Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1313 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 13 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.8% over four weeks, 15.2% over 12 weeks, and 74.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 29 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.0%
4W3.8%
12W15.2%
26W65.6%
52W74.0%
Active trend streak29 weeks
Active weeks in one year29
Trend breadth55.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.03Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-37.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership39.21Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change17.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 95%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength99/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Value93/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Quality84/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth99/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
9.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
2.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
17.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
62.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
29.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
12.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
245.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
31.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
41.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

MRX shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.17, expected move of 11.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction48/100
Expected move11.3%
Put/call volume0.17
Pressure71
Speculation0
Volatility86
Trend agreement37
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 49 relevant articles.

20 positive · 26 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings8dNext report is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move11.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.5%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-18.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-1.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol5.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape69/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 69/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis83/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.96; 13 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.84%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.84% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors92/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Cornerstone Growth rank 14; Buyback Yield rank 31; Small Cap Core rank 16 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options45/100

MRX shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.17, expected move of 11.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 11.3% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 49 relevant articles.

Top Marex Group plc Ordinary Shares (MRX) Competitors 2026 Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings8d

Next report is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202664.92 USD-1.0%50.13 USD35.65 USD1.0339.213.3MOn
24 Jul 202665.56 USD9.0%49.22 USD35.41 USD1.2642.443.2MOn
17 Jul 202660.16 USD-8.5%48.35 USD35.15 USD1.5829.733.6MOn
10 Jul 202665.78 USD5.2%47.64 USD34.93 USD1.8136.784.4MOn
3 Jul 202662.52 USD-2.7%46.73 USD34.67 USD1.6733.251.9MOn
26 Jun 202664.23 USD-1.0%45.89 USD34.42 USD1.5038.836.9MOn
19 Jun 202664.85 USD4.7%44.90 USD34.16 USD1.0934.603.2MOn
12 Jun 202661.96 USD12.4%43.82 USD33.88 USD0.8932.605.6MOn
5 Jun 202655.11 USD4.1%42.88 USD33.63 USD0.7821.114.3MOn
29 May 202652.94 USD-0.5%42.15 USD33.43 USD1.0411.083.1MOn
22 May 202653.20 USD-5.1%41.38 USD33.26 USD1.1814.503.8MOn
15 May 202656.06 USD-0.5%40.62 USD33.07 USD1.3121.663.9MOn
8 May 202656.35 USD7.7%39.75 USD32.86 USD1.4321.667.4MOn
1 May 202652.34 USD-0.6%38.87 USD32.63 USD1.3418.653.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.