FCEL NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

FuelCell Energy Inc · Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

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Latest close 21.61 USD
1.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 57.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 52.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a -23.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 61/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 37d.

Setup score 54 out of 100
Latest Close 21.61 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.6% latest completed week
4W Return -23.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 57.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 75.0% 39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 14-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -23.1%. Indicator stack 86/48 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 61/100 conviction; expected move 17.0%. News sentiment 53/100 56 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 37d Next report is scheduled for 08 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 57.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 52.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a -23.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9012-week average 0.74

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.90Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -23.1% over four weeks, 57.7% over 12 weeks, and 357.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 14 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.6%
4W-23.1%
12W57.7%
26W163.9%
52W357.8%
Active trend streak14 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.24Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-81.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership87.70Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-45.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength25/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Value24/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Quality6/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Momentum99/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Growth83/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
10.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-6.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-18.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-129.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-58.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-32.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
29.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-19.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-19.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

FCEL shows volatility options pressure with a 61/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.38, expected move of 17.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction61/100
Expected move17.0%
Put/call volume0.38
Pressure52
Speculation42
Volatility96
Trend agreement78
Open options detail
Insider activity11 / 6

11 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

15 positive · 31 neutral · 10 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings37dNext report is scheduled for 08 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move17.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-43.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility22.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+55.9%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-25.2%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week+1.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses7
Recent vol22.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol19.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew17.4% / -8.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape58/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 58/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis90/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.90; No reversal markers Factors35/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 91; Small Cap Core rank 83 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options60/100

FCEL shows volatility options pressure with a 61/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.38, expected move of 17.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 17.0% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

FuelCell Energy (NASDAQ:FCEL) Rating Increased to Hold at Wall Street Zen Insiders11 / 6

11 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings37d

Next report is scheduled for 08 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202621.61 USD1.6%13.70 USD17.56 USD0.2487.7046.6MOn
24 Jul 202621.26 USD14.9%13.25 USD17.80 USD0.6390.6848.5MOn
17 Jul 202618.50 USD-12.1%12.83 USD18.08 USD0.9867.4061.8MOn
10 Jul 202621.03 USD-25.2%12.49 USD18.40 USD1.2286.2974.0MOn
3 Jul 202628.11 USD17.1%12.08 USD18.69 USD1.28159.7074.9MOn
26 Jun 202624.00 USD-0.2%11.42 USD18.91 USD1.16132.3282.9MOn
19 Jun 202624.04 USD41.9%10.85 USD19.17 USD1.16129.4447.3MOn
12 Jun 202616.94 USD-2.3%10.25 USD19.43 USD1.3070.9064.0MOn
5 Jun 202617.33 USD-20.0%9.92 USD19.82 USD1.4881.9343.2MOn
29 May 202621.66 USD-13.4%9.60 USD20.15 USD1.66121.0237.5MOn
22 May 202625.01 USD17.1%9.17 USD20.44 USD1.70170.2173.9MOn
15 May 202621.36 USD55.9%8.60 USD20.67 USD1.58142.2675.6MOn
8 May 202613.70 USD2.9%8.17 USD20.94 USD1.1060.3944.3MOn
1 May 202613.31 USD19.1%8.03 USD21.28 USD0.4467.1950.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.