SAO Equity Snapshot

P1KG34 Weekly Equity Report

Packaging Corporation of America

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 554.0 BRL 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -2.7% latest completed week
4W Return 3.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 28.8% 15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.2x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper products in North America. The company operates through Packaging and Paper segments. The Packaging segment offers various linerboard and corrugated packaging products, such as conventional shipping containers used to protect and transport manufactured goods; multi-color boxes and displays that help to merchandise the packaged product in retail locations; and honeycomb protective packaging products, as well as packaging for meat, fresh fruit and vegetables, processed food, beverages, and other industrial and consumer products. This segment sells its corrugated products through a direct sales …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

P1KG34 closed the latest completed week at 554.0 BRL. The 4-week return is 3.4% and the 12-week return is 0.3%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.12. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 41/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -0.1%
Volume 0.2x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 16 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 58 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 54 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 33 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 7 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 75 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
554.5 BRL
Vs Trend Line
-0.1%
Fair Value
488.0 BRL
Vs Fair Value
13.5%
52W High
589.6 BRL
52W Low
507.1 BRL
Drawdown
-6.0%
Range Position
56.9%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -2.7%
4W 3.4%
12W 0.3%
26W 5.3%
52W 2.7%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
15
52W Active Breadth
28.8%
Sector Scope
BR Consumer Cyclical
Sector Rank
107 of 125
Sector Percentile
14.5%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.12
4W MD Change
79.5%
Relative Strength
-6.92
4W RS Change
51.5%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
32.95%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
28
13W Average
173
52W Average
127
Vs 13W
0.2x
Vs 52W
0.2x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
2.9%
52W Volatility
2.9%
Upside Weeks
19
Downside Weeks
16
Downside Breadth
30.8%
Avg Gain / Loss
2.7% / -2.9%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
SAO
Country
BR
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Packaging & Containers
Currency
BRL
Market Cap
97.9B

Opportunity signals

  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 554.0 BRL -2.7% 554.5 BRL 488.0 BRL -0.12 -6.92 28 Off
5 Jun 2026 569.6 BRL 4.1% 553.7 BRL 486.4 BRL -0.32 -3.48 1 Off
29 May 2026 546.9 BRL 1.2% 553.3 BRL 484.6 BRL -0.42 -10.09 1 Off
22 May 2026 540.2 BRL 0.8% 553.6 BRL 483.1 BRL -0.49 -12.72 203 Off
15 May 2026 536.0 BRL -2.1% 554.1 BRL 481.7 BRL -0.59 -14.26 3 Off
8 May 2026 547.2 BRL 3.4% 554.5 BRL 480.3 BRL -0.69 -16.04 400 Off
1 May 2026 529.3 BRL -1.2% 555.1 BRL 478.8 BRL -0.89 -20.53 404 Off
24 Apr 2026 535.9 BRL 4.3% 556.6 BRL 477.4 BRL -0.99 -21.42 402 Off
17 Apr 2026 513.9 BRL -0.0% 557.5 BRL 476.0 BRL -0.99 -26.97 201 Off
10 Apr 2026 514.1 BRL -1.7% 559.2 BRL 474.7 BRL -0.78 -28.12 401 Off
3 Apr 2026 523.2 BRL -5.8% 561.4 BRL 473.4 BRL -0.45 -23.88 200 Off
27 Mar 2026 555.3 BRL 0.5% 563.2 BRL 472.1 BRL -0.02 -17.49 4 Off
20 Mar 2026 552.4 BRL -2.9% 563.8 BRL 470.6 BRL 0.36 -16.40 2 On
13 Mar 2026 568.7 BRL -2.2% 564.4 BRL 469.1 BRL 0.63 -15.55 3 On