- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
AVEX
NYSE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
AEVEX Corp. · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Latest close
16.63 USD
16.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 12.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 16.4%, after a -19.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 51/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 11d.
Setup score
21
out of 100
Latest Close
16.63 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
16.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-19.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-33.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 16 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 28.23% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
16.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -19.6%.
Indicator stack
0/50
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 28.23%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Volatility
51/100 conviction; expected move 24.3%.
News sentiment
51/100
34 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
11d
Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 12.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 16.4%, after a -19.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0112-week average 0.03
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.01Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -19.6% over four weeks, -33.7% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 81%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength15/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Value27/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Quality12/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Momentum64/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Growth71/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework49/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 25.7x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 14.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -7.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 22.7% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 9.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -15.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 7.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 10.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -221.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -12.4% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -11.8% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.0x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
AVEX shows volatility options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.09, expected move of 24.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction51/100
Expected move24.3%
Put/call volume0.09
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 34 relevant articles.
3 positive · 30 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move24.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-60.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility19.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
31 Jul
Weeks higher5 of 1510 weeks finished lower.
Best week+43.4%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-40.6%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+16.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains0
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses8
Recent vol19.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol18.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split5/10Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew19.6% / -11.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-3.6%
Trend breadth52.0%
Trend52.0%active weekly trend signals
MD54.0%positive activity pressure
RS53.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Aerospace & Defense
4-week rank62 / 82
Group average-10.6%
Trend breadth23.2%
Trend23.2%active weekly trend signals
MD34.1%positive activity pressure
RS26.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape24/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 24/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis5/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.01; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 28.23%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 28.23% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors27/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 88; Small Cap Core rank 76 SVQF49/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 521.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options37/100AVEX shows volatility options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.09, expected move of 24.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 24.3% Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 34 relevant articles.
Top AEVEX (AVEX) Competitors 2026 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 16.63 USD | 16.4% | - | 22.58 USD | 0.00 | - | 5.5M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 14.29 USD | -1.4% | - | 22.97 USD | 0.00 | - | 9.6M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 14.50 USD | -11.9% | - | 23.59 USD | 0.00 | - | 17.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 16.46 USD | -20.4% | - | 24.29 USD | 0.00 | - | 8.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 20.69 USD | 20.3% | - | 24.95 USD | 0.00 | - | 13.8M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 17.20 USD | -6.0% | - | 25.33 USD | 0.00 | - | 13.5M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 18.30 USD | -11.0% | - | 26.15 USD | 0.00 | - | 9.7M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 20.56 USD | -10.1% | - | 27.02 USD | 0.00 | - | 12.1M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 22.87 USD | -40.6% | - | 27.83 USD | 0.00 | - | 19.4M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 38.47 USD | 43.4% | - | 28.54 USD | 0.00 | - | 9.3M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 26.82 USD | 7.8% | - | 26.88 USD | 0.00 | - | 8.6M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 24.87 USD | -0.8% | - | 26.89 USD | 0.00 | - | 9.8M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 25.07 USD | -10.1% | - | 27.40 USD | 0.00 | - | 6.8M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 27.89 USD | -6.1% | - | 28.17 USD | - | - | 7.5M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.