NXPI NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

NXP Semiconductors NV · Technology · Semiconductors

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Latest close 229.2 USD
-14.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -8.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -14.9%, after a -16.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 36 out of 100
Latest Close 229.2 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -14.9% latest completed week
4W Return -16.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -22.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 14-week active streak.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -14.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -16.2%. Indicator stack 81/35 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 49/100 conviction; expected move 11.1%. News sentiment 50/100 63 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 28 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 28 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -8.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -14.9%, after a -16.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7212-week average 0.65

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.72Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -16.2% over four weeks, -22.0% over 12 weeks, and 10.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 14 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-14.9%
4W-16.2%
12W-22.0%
26W1.9%
52W10.7%
Active trend streak14 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.28Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-130.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.39Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-459.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength58/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
Value25/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Quality88/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Momentum74/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Growth96/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework68/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
19.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
13.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
55.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
31.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
26.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
17.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
8.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
38.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
11.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

NXPI shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.36, expected move of 11.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction49/100
Expected move11.1%
Put/call volume0.36
Pressure50
Speculation41
Volatility83
Trend agreement40
Open options detail
Insider activity6 / 14

6 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

19 positive · 32 neutral · 12 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings28 JulLatest stored earnings date was 28 Jul 2026.
Options expected move11.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.0%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-14.9%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-14.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses7
Recent vol6.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.1% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape43/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis77/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.72; 2 reversal markers Factors61/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 31 SVQF68/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 236.0 of 725 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options46/100

NXPI shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.36, expected move of 11.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 11.1% Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

NXP Semiconductors (NASDAQ:NXPI) Cut to "Hold" at UBS Group Insiders6 / 14

6 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings28 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 28 Jul 2026.

 Research flow3 items

2 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026229.2 USD-14.9%250.6 USD222.7 USD-0.28-10.3932.3MOn
24 Jul 2026269.2 USD1.0%250.3 USD222.5 USD-0.065.6417.3MOn
17 Jul 2026266.5 USD-8.8%248.7 USD222.2 USD0.292.9218.8MOn
10 Jul 2026292.3 USD6.9%247.4 USD221.8 USD0.648.0816.6MOn
3 Jul 2026273.4 USD-1.3%245.2 USD221.2 USD0.922.8918.9MOn
26 Jun 2026277.0 USD-11.3%243.6 USD220.7 USD1.155.0024.7MOn
19 Jun 2026312.2 USD2.8%240.8 USD220.1 USD1.2413.0118.9MOn
12 Jun 2026303.8 USD3.0%236.7 USD219.3 USD1.3013.1022.3MOn
5 Jun 2026294.9 USD-7.9%233.1 USD218.5 USD1.3012.4921.3MOn
29 May 2026320.2 USD1.5%230.0 USD217.8 USD1.3816.8315.4MOn
22 May 2026315.4 USD8.6%226.2 USD216.8 USD1.4218.8317.1MOn
15 May 2026290.5 USD-1.1%223.0 USD215.9 USD1.2011.1718.6MOn
8 May 2026293.7 USD-0.2%220.4 USD215.1 USD0.7512.1023.4MOn
1 May 2026294.2 USD21.0%217.4 USD214.2 USD0.1918.6227.4MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.