KHNZ GER Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

The Kraft Heinz Company · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Latest close 22.62 EUR
0.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 2.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 59 out of 100
Latest Close 22.62 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.8% latest completed week
4W Return 2.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 14.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 11.5% 6 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.22% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 2.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6812-week average 0.39

12-week confirmation

Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.68Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals2Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 2.6% over four weeks, 14.4% over 12 weeks, and 2.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.8%
4W2.6%
12W14.4%
26W20.5%
52W2.7%
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year6
Trend breadth11.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.76Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change32.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.37Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change172.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength78/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Value87/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Quality40/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 61; rank 1 is best.
Momentum35/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Growth24/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework87/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
33.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
18.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-3.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
21.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
6.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
7.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-5.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.

3 positive · 21 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.1%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-5.6%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+0.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202622.62 EUR0.8%20.02 EUR24.42 EUR1.765.3780.0KOn
24 Jul 202622.43 EUR-2.7%19.93 EUR24.45 EUR1.736.5535.6KOn
17 Jul 202623.06 EUR5.6%19.82 EUR24.48 EUR1.7110.6386.7KOn
10 Jul 202621.83 EUR-1.0%19.73 EUR24.51 EUR1.483.7874.9KOn
3 Jul 202622.05 EUR4.9%19.68 EUR24.54 EUR1.321.9752.5KOn
26 Jun 202621.02 EUR5.6%19.62 EUR24.57 EUR0.951.5120.1KOn
19 Jun 202619.90 EUR-4.5%19.62 EUR24.61 EUR0.91-5.114.7KOff
12 Jun 202620.85 EUR8.1%19.65 EUR24.66 EUR0.890.615.1KOff
5 Jun 202619.28 EUR-5.0%19.62 EUR24.71 EUR0.74-7.5311.8KOff
29 May 202620.29 EUR1.4%19.64 EUR24.76 EUR1.00-4.3135.0KOff
22 May 202620.01 EUR2.7%19.64 EUR24.82 EUR0.66-4.9922.2KOff
15 May 202619.49 EUR-1.5%19.65 EUR24.88 EUR0.30-4.0767.7KOff
8 May 202619.78 EUR4.9%19.69 EUR24.95 EUR0.14-4.4793.5KOff
1 May 202618.85 EUR2.4%19.71 EUR25.02 EUR-0.12-9.1124.0KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.