- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.31% based on similar historical setup states.
LTRX
NASDAQ
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Lantronix Inc · Technology · Communication Equipment
Latest close
5.38 USD
1.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 42.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a -2.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 26/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 62/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 24d.
Setup score
30
out of 100
Latest Close
5.38 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
1.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-12.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
84.6%
44 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.0%.
Indicator stack
47/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.31%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Mixed
26/100 conviction; expected move 23.3%.
News sentiment
62/100
54 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
24d
Next report is scheduled for 26 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 42.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a -2.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4612-week average 0.57
12-week confirmation
Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.46Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.0% over four weeks, -12.7% over 12 weeks, and 83.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year44
Trend breadth84.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.15Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-1536.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.99Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-3.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 81%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength24/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Value24/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Quality14/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Momentum90/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Growth15/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 4.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 41.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -5.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 8.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -7.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -17.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 5.8% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -0.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningMixed
LTRX shows mixed options pressure with a 26/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.22, expected move of 23.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction26/100
Expected move23.3%
Put/call volume1.22
Insider activity5 / 15
5 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment62/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 54 relevant articles.
27 positive · 26 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings24dNext report is scheduled for 26 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move23.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-38.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.9%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-16.7%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+1.5%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains6
Flat weeks1
Modest losses3
Sharp losses8
Recent vol8.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.2% / -6.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Technology
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-3.3%
Trend breadth56.0%
Trend56.0%active weekly trend signals
MD46.0%positive activity pressure
RS54.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Communication Equipment
4-week rank14 / 40
Group average-8.7%
Trend breadth42.5%
Trend42.5%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS47.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape31/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis49/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 6/12.
Activity pressure 0.46; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.31%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.31% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors35/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 74; Small Cap Core rank 81 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options45/100LTRX shows mixed options pressure with a 26/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.22, expected move of 23.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 23.3% Sentiment62/100Weighted news tone is positive across 54 relevant articles.
Lantronix teams with Swarmer to develop custom compute module for small drones Insiders5 / 155 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings24dNext report is scheduled for 26 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5.38 USD | 1.5% | 6.09 USD | 4.37 USD | -1.15 | -10.99 | 3.0M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5.30 USD | 2.1% | 6.12 USD | 4.36 USD | -0.96 | -11.35 | 3.7M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 5.19 USD | -7.3% | 6.13 USD | 4.35 USD | -0.66 | -14.18 | 4.8M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5.60 USD | 2.0% | 6.15 USD | 4.35 USD | -0.29 | -10.93 | 3.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5.49 USD | -0.7% | 6.17 USD | 4.34 USD | 0.08 | -10.65 | 6.9M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5.53 USD | -16.7% | 6.17 USD | 4.33 USD | 0.35 | -8.76 | 10.4M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 6.64 USD | -1.0% | 6.16 USD | 4.32 USD | 0.73 | 5.17 | 6.1M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 6.71 USD | 2.3% | 6.09 USD | 4.31 USD | 0.96 | 10.15 | 6.1M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 6.56 USD | -13.1% | 6.02 USD | 4.29 USD | 0.87 | 11.40 | 7.0M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 7.55 USD | 6.6% | 5.97 USD | 4.28 USD | 0.68 | 23.85 | 11.6M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 7.08 USD | 12.9% | 5.88 USD | 4.26 USD | 0.42 | 21.20 | 6.5M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 6.27 USD | 1.8% | 5.82 USD | 4.24 USD | -0.02 | 10.09 | 4.5M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 6.16 USD | -13.0% | 5.76 USD | 4.23 USD | -0.23 | 8.94 | 4.7M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 7.08 USD | 8.3% | 5.72 USD | 4.22 USD | -0.46 | 33.50 | 3.0M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.