- The trend backdrop is active with a 7-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
AIA
NZE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Auckland International Airport Limited · Industrials · Airports & Air Services
Latest close
8.71 NZD
1.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a 1.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
61
out of 100
Latest Close
8.71 NZD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
1.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
1.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
4.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
69.2%
36 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 1.3%.
Indicator stack
62/99
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
51/100
12 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a 1.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6612-week average 0.57
12-week confirmation
Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.66Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 1.3% over four weeks, 4.3% over 12 weeks, and 18.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 7 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak7 weeks
Active weeks in one year36
Trend breadth69.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.73Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change446.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership3.80Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change2.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
4 positive · 7 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.5%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-4.6%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+1.5%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains15
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.7% / -1.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorNZ Industrials
4-week rank4 / 18
Group average-7.3%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD77.8%positive activity pressure
RS44.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryNZ Airports & Air Services
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average1.3%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape63/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 63/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis67/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.66; 2 reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
Should Auckland’s Latest Passenger and Movement Data Shape How Investors View Auckland Airport’s Demand Profile (NZSE:AIA)? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 8.71 NZD | 1.5% | 8.40 NZD | 7.85 NZD | 0.73 | 3.80 | 6.0M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 8.58 NZD | 0.9% | 8.38 NZD | 7.84 NZD | 0.85 | 1.89 | 8.4M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 8.50 NZD | -4.0% | 8.37 NZD | 7.84 NZD | 0.73 | 1.62 | 9.5M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 8.85 NZD | 2.9% | 8.36 NZD | 7.83 NZD | 0.65 | 5.23 | 5.7M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 8.60 NZD | 2.1% | 8.33 NZD | 7.83 NZD | 0.13 | 3.72 | 12.6M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 8.42 NZD | -0.9% | 8.31 NZD | 7.83 NZD | -0.37 | 2.62 | 1.4M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 8.50 NZD | 3.3% | 8.29 NZD | 7.82 NZD | -0.49 | 3.68 | 4.3M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 8.23 NZD | -1.2% | 8.27 NZD | 7.82 NZD | -0.72 | 1.18 | 2.7M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 8.33 NZD | 0.7% | 8.25 NZD | 7.82 NZD | -0.59 | 4.19 | 1.7M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 8.27 NZD | 1.8% | 8.24 NZD | 7.82 NZD | -0.51 | 2.86 | 20.2M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 8.12 NZD | -3.1% | 8.23 NZD | 7.82 NZD | -0.52 | 3.05 | 10.3M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 8.38 NZD | 0.4% | 8.23 NZD | 7.82 NZD | -0.54 | 6.61 | 8.3M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 8.35 NZD | -0.2% | 8.22 NZD | 7.82 NZD | -0.62 | 4.64 | 7.0M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 8.37 NZD | 1.8% | 8.21 NZD | 7.82 NZD | -0.66 | 6.06 | 10.1M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.