CRCL NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Circle Internet Group, Inc. · Financial Services · Capital Markets

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Latest close 62.36 USD
3.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -27.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.1%, after a -15.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 36/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 7d.

Setup score 18 out of 100
Latest Close 62.36 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.1% latest completed week
4W Return -15.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -37.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 9.6% 5 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -15.2%. Indicator stack 5/33 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 43.99% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 36/100 conviction; expected move 8.4%. News sentiment 50/100 62 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 7d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -27.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.1%, after a -15.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2012-week average 0.35

12-week confirmation

Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.20Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -15.2% over four weeks, -37.5% over 12 weeks, and -67.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.1%
4W-15.2%
12W-37.5%
26W-12.6%
52W-67.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year5
Trend breadth9.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.86Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-20.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-42.70Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-9.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength1/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Value17/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Quality4/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Momentum3/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Growth86/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
7.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-4.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
19.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-5.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
51.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
56.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-6.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-6.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
31.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

CRCL shows mixed options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.77, expected move of 8.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction36/100
Expected move8.4%
Put/call volume0.77
Pressure16
Speculation41
Volatility90
Trend agreement42
Open options detail
Insider activity1 / 19

1 acquisitions and 19 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

9 positive · 43 neutral · 10 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings7dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-68.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+32.4%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-29.0%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+3.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol9.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.9% / -9.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape20/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 20/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis33/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.20; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.99%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.99% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors5/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 84; Small Cap Core rank 92 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options44/100

CRCL shows mixed options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.77, expected move of 8.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 8.4% Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

California Public Employees Retirement System Invests $13.31 Million in Circle Internet Group, Inc. $CRCL Insiders1 / 19

1 acquisitions and 19 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings7d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202662.36 USD3.1%86.12 USD110.7 USD-0.86-42.7061.7MOff
17 Jul 202660.46 USD-8.6%86.75 USD111.5 USD-0.85-46.3360.2MOff
10 Jul 202666.14 USD2.4%87.61 USD112.4 USD-0.83-44.1776.2MOff
3 Jul 202664.62 USD-12.2%88.18 USD113.2 USD-0.83-46.1389.7MOff
26 Jun 202673.57 USD-8.3%88.88 USD114.0 USD-0.72-38.9455.2MOff
19 Jun 202680.23 USD3.1%89.10 USD114.8 USD-0.31-36.4450.1MOff
12 Jun 202677.84 USD-3.0%88.80 USD115.4 USD0.10-39.8253.8MOn
5 Jun 202680.28 USD-29.0%88.93 USD116.1 USD0.56-38.4182.2MOn
29 May 2026113.0 USD-0.1%89.70 USD116.8 USD0.90-16.1460.7MOn
22 May 2026113.1 USD-0.8%90.16 USD116.9 USD0.84-50.8MOn
15 May 2026114.0 USD0.3%91.13 USD117.0 USD0.79-140.3MOn
8 May 2026113.7 USD14.0%91.54 USD117.0 USD0.70-112.7MOff
1 May 202699.70 USD0.0%92.19 USD117.1 USD0.51-43.8MOff
24 Apr 202699.66 USD-5.9%93.72 USD117.5 USD0.51-51.8MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.