CNCK NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares · Financial Services · Capital Markets

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Latest close 2.72 USD
-5.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 22.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 16.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.6%, after a 21.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 8d.

Setup score 28 out of 100
Latest Close 2.72 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -5.6% latest completed week
4W Return 21.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 53.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 36.91% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -5.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 21.4%. Indicator stack 0/67 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 36.91% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 51/100 46 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 8d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 22.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 16.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.6%, after a 21.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.0x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1312-week average 0.07

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.13Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 21.4% over four weeks, 53.7% over 12 weeks, and -48.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-5.6%
4W21.4%
12W53.7%
26W0.4%
52W-48.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.83Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change29.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-20.28Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change52.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength66/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Value57/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 44; rank 1 is best.
Quality56/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Momentum58/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
Growth58/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
1.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-0.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
0.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-30.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
25.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-72.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.

8 positive · 34 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings8dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-70.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.9%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-16.2%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-5.6%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains1
Flat weeks2
Modest losses6
Sharp losses8
Recent vol8.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol17.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew13.9% / -9.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape18/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 18/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis30/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.13; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 36.91%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 36.91% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors59/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 50; Small Cap Core rank 49 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.

Coincheck Group (CNCK) Stock Forecast & Analyst Ratings Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings8d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20262.72 USD-5.6%2.21 USD4.56 USD0.83-20.28161.9KOff
17 Jul 20262.88 USD11.2%2.24 USD4.59 USD0.83-18.63337.3KOff
10 Jul 20262.59 USD15.6%2.22 USD4.61 USD0.81-31.52337.8KOff
3 Jul 20262.24 USD0.0%2.27 USD4.63 USD0.72-41.26311.6KOff
26 Jun 20262.24 USD16.1%2.39 USD4.66 USD0.65-42.44423.0KOff
19 Jun 20261.93 USD13.5%2.42 USD4.69 USD0.57-53.62246.8KOff
12 Jun 20261.70 USD-5.6%2.46 USD4.73 USD0.52-59.08383.4KOff
5 Jun 20261.80 USD-3.2%2.51 USD4.76 USD0.57-56.70748.2KOff
29 May 20261.86 USD-4.1%2.57 USD4.80 USD0.44-58.38865.0KOff
22 May 20261.94 USD-4.4%2.63 USD4.84 USD0.27-56.33814.0KOff
15 May 20262.03 USD11.5%2.70 USD4.88 USD0.02-55.1655.1MOff
8 May 20261.82 USD2.8%2.78 USD4.92 USD-0.34-61.08226.4KOff
1 May 20261.77 USD-2.7%2.88 USD4.96 USD-0.57-61.82237.6KOff
24 Apr 20261.82 USD0.0%2.97 USD5.01 USD-0.79-61.56285.8KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.