NEXT NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Nextdecade Corp · Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

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Latest close 6.72 USD
-4.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -3.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.1%, after a -11.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 48/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 34 out of 100
Latest Close 6.72 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.1% latest completed week
4W Return -11.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -11.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 44.2% 23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 17-week active streak.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -4.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -11.3%. Indicator stack 69/0 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 48/100 conviction; expected move 11.8%. News sentiment 53/100 51 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 30 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -3.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.1%, after a -11.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5712-week average 0.74

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.57Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -11.3% over four weeks, -11.1% over 12 weeks, and -39.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 17 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.1%
4W-11.3%
12W-11.1%
26W27.0%
52W-39.5%
Active trend streak17 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-10292.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.04Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-17.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 64% Model confidence 61%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength49/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Value49/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Quality47/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Momentum49/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Growth49/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
40.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-2.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
120.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
1/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-35.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

NEXT shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.12, expected move of 11.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction48/100
Expected move11.8%
Put/call volume0.12
Pressure89
Speculation5
Volatility88
Trend agreement1
Open options detail
Insider activity3 / 3

3 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

12 positive · 36 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move11.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-40.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+27.0%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-12.5%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-4.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses6
Recent vol8.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.3% / -6.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape38/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis59/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.57; No reversal markers Factors47/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 50; Small Cap Core rank 55 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options34/100

NEXT shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.12, expected move of 11.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 11.8% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

NextDecade (NASDAQ:NEXT) Posts Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By $0.41 EPS Insiders3 / 3

3 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings30 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20266.72 USD-4.1%6.93 USD6.72 USD-0.50-12.0421.2MOn
24 Jul 20267.00 USD-8.8%6.88 USD6.71 USD-0.54-9.4313.2MOn
17 Jul 20267.68 USD-3.9%6.83 USD6.70 USD-0.40-3.8910.5MOn
10 Jul 20267.99 USD5.4%6.75 USD6.70 USD-0.27-5.8110.7MOn
3 Jul 20267.58 USD1.6%6.67 USD6.68 USD0.00-10.288.1MOn
26 Jun 20267.46 USD1.5%6.62 USD6.69 USD0.36-11.7823.2MOn
19 Jun 20267.35 USD-12.5%6.58 USD6.69 USD0.54-17.7015.0MOn
12 Jun 20268.40 USD-1.5%6.52 USD6.70 USD0.80-4.3610.8MOn
5 Jun 20268.53 USD7.8%6.45 USD6.70 USD0.99-1.3010.8MOn
29 May 20267.91 USD-6.5%6.36 USD6.68 USD1.02-13.0911.2MOn
22 May 20268.46 USD-7.2%6.29 USD6.67 USD1.16-5.1413.6MOn
15 May 20269.12 USD20.6%6.20 USD6.65 USD1.133.0217.8MOn
8 May 20267.56 USD-3.4%6.10 USD6.63 USD1.03-15.1217.9MOn
1 May 20267.83 USD10.4%6.07 USD6.62 USD1.19-7.9816.0MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.