GOOGL NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Alphabet Inc Class A · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

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Latest close 356.1 USD
11.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.4%, after a -1.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 47/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 88d.

Setup score 55 out of 100
Latest Close 356.1 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 11.4% latest completed week
4W Return -1.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -11.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 98.1% 51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 17-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.79% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 8 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 11.4% Latest completed week; four-week move -1.1%. Indicator stack 99/8 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 56.79% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 47/100 conviction; expected move 11.5%. News sentiment 53/100 26 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 88d Next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.4%, after a -1.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7012-week average 0.77

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.70Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers88 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 8 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.1% over four weeks, -11.1% over 12 weeks, and 88.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 17 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W11.4%
4W-1.1%
12W-11.1%
26W5.5%
52W88.8%
Active trend streak17 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.65Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-378.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.97Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength71/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Value26/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Quality95/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Momentum91/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Growth99/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework74/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
16.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
8.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
60.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
67.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
71.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
35.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
20.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
111.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
58.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

GOOGL shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.53, expected move of 11.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction47/100
Expected move11.5%
Put/call volume0.53
Pressure33
Speculation48
Volatility80
Trend agreement56
Open options detail
Insider activity5 / 15

5 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.

9 positive · 16 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings88dNext report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move11.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.0%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-8.9%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week+11.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape59/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 59/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis71/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.70; 8 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.79%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.79% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors70/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 36 SVQF74/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 192.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options50/100

GOOGL shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.53, expected move of 11.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 11.5% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.

Alphabet (Google) Stock Forecast: New AI Robot Model Fuels 3% Rally as $360 Level Remains Hard to Break Insiders5 / 15

5 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings88d

Next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow2 items

1 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026356.1 USD11.4%339.0 USD209.0 USD-0.656.97162.2MOn
24 Jul 2026319.7 USD-7.8%337.6 USD207.6 USD-0.49-2.76188.7MOn
17 Jul 2026346.8 USD-2.9%337.4 USD206.4 USD-0.184.31133.6MOn
10 Jul 2026357.2 USD-0.8%336.0 USD204.9 USD0.053.67115.9MOn
3 Jul 2026359.9 USD6.7%334.4 USD203.4 USD0.237.08122.2MOn
26 Jun 2026337.4 USD-8.3%333.1 USD201.9 USD0.462.00291.1MOn
19 Jun 2026368.0 USD2.3%332.5 USD200.5 USD0.526.93121.6MOn
12 Jun 2026359.7 USD-2.3%330.2 USD198.9 USD0.688.10150.1MOn
5 Jun 2026368.3 USD-3.1%327.4 USD197.4 USD0.7814.04216.1MOn
29 May 2026380.1 USD-0.7%324.4 USD195.8 USD0.7713.32119.6MOn
22 May 2026382.7 USD-3.5%321.1 USD194.1 USD0.9018.33142.2MOn
15 May 2026396.5 USD-1.0%317.0 USD192.5 USD0.6425.17126.4MOn
8 May 2026400.6 USD3.9%312.2 USD190.7 USD0.3427.35127.4MOn
1 May 2026385.5 USD12.0%306.7 USD188.9 USD-0.0830.71193.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.