ODFL NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc · Industrials · Trucking

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Latest close 212.1 USD
-8.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.9%, after a -2.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.

Setup score 56 out of 100
Latest Close 212.1 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -8.9% latest completed week
4W Return -2.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 7.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 53.8% 28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 28-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 9 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -8.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -2.5%. Indicator stack 75/33 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 43/100 conviction; expected move 7.0%. News sentiment 55/100 63 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.9%, after a -2.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9212-week average 0.92

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.92Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers99 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 9 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.5% over four weeks, 7.1% over 12 weeks, and 50.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 28 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-8.9%
4W-2.5%
12W7.1%
26W22.8%
52W50.5%
Active trend streak28 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-146.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership8.69Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength40/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 61; rank 1 is best.
Value4/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Quality92/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Momentum80/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Growth7/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework25/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
48.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
8.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
28.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
30.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
24.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
32.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
24.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-4.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-12.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-22.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

ODFL shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.57, expected move of 7.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction43/100
Expected move7.0%
Put/call volume0.57
Pressure27
Speculation40
Volatility55
Trend agreement69
Open options detail
Insider activity10 / 7

10 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

25 positive · 31 neutral · 7 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move7.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.9%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-10.1%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-8.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.1% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape57/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 57/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis73/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.92; 9 reversal markers Factors53/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 28 SVQF25/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 548.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options63/100

ODFL shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.57, expected move of 7.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 7.0% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

California State Teachers Retirement System Has $59.12 Million Position in Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. $ODFL Insiders10 / 7

10 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.

 Research flow1 items

1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026212.1 USD-8.9%205.9 USD185.2 USD-0.278.6912.0MOn
24 Jul 2026233.0 USD-0.4%204.1 USD185.1 USD-0.2120.466.7MOn
17 Jul 2026233.8 USD2.7%201.6 USD185.0 USD-0.0519.347.1MOn
10 Jul 2026227.6 USD4.6%199.1 USD184.7 USD0.1811.717.9MOn
3 Jul 2026217.7 USD-0.5%196.8 USD184.4 USD0.588.846.0MOn
26 Jun 2026218.8 USD-1.0%194.7 USD184.2 USD0.9310.349.7MOn
19 Jun 2026221.0 USD-10.1%191.9 USD184.0 USD0.936.5410.8MOn
12 Jun 2026245.8 USD1.3%189.0 USD183.6 USD0.6521.649.7MOn
5 Jun 2026242.6 USD7.9%185.2 USD183.0 USD0.1623.1510.7MOn
29 May 2026224.9 USD7.0%181.7 USD182.4 USD-0.179.359.1MOn
22 May 2026210.2 USD3.6%178.9 USD182.0 USD-0.135.167.2MOn
15 May 2026202.9 USD2.4%176.4 USD181.7 USD0.082.568.8MOn
8 May 2026198.1 USD-3.6%174.2 USD181.3 USD0.33-0.4710.4MOn
1 May 2026205.6 USD-6.4%172.1 USD181.0 USD0.548.6415.4MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.