ARCB NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

ArcBest Corp · Industrials · Trucking

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Latest close 144.3 USD
-6.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 72.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.4%, after a 3.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 45/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.

Setup score 68 out of 100
Latest Close 144.3 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -6.4% latest completed week
4W Return 3.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 19.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 75.0% 39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 29-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -6.4% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.4%. Indicator stack 86/53 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 56.00% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bearish 45/100 conviction; expected move 10.3%. News sentiment 56/100 58 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 72.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.4%, after a 3.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9712-week average 0.95

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.97Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.4% over four weeks, 19.3% over 12 weeks, and 107.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 29 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-6.4%
4W3.4%
12W19.3%
26W60.3%
52W107.0%
Active trend streak29 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.45Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-66.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership35.53Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change12.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength22/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Value21/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Quality15/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Momentum92/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Growth2/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework9/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
61.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
14.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
9.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
4.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
2.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
9.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-1.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-68.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-19.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

ARCB shows bearish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 8.00, expected move of 10.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction45/100
Expected move10.3%
Put/call volume8.00
Pressure-71
Speculation5
Volatility78
Trend agreement23
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.

22 positive · 28 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move10.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+24.1%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-16.5%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-6.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses6
Recent vol8.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.9% / -4.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape69/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 69/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis83/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.97; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.00%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.00% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors34/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 24; Small Cap Core rank 73 SVQF9/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 659.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options34/100

ARCB shows bearish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 8.00, expected move of 10.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 10.3% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.

ArcBest (ARCB) Could Be 10% Undervalued As Earnings Raise Fresh Valuation Questions Insiders0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026144.3 USD-6.4%119.4 USD100.9 USD0.4535.533.0MOn
24 Jul 2026154.3 USD-3.4%117.2 USD100.7 USD0.5447.191.3MOn
17 Jul 2026159.8 USD8.6%114.6 USD100.5 USD0.8551.411.7MOn
10 Jul 2026147.1 USD5.3%111.9 USD100.1 USD1.0235.141.6MOn
3 Jul 2026139.7 USD-4.5%109.5 USD99.78 USD1.3631.541.5MOn
26 Jun 2026146.3 USD1.2%107.3 USD99.51 USD1.6439.813.0MOn
19 Jun 2026144.5 USD-16.5%104.5 USD99.20 USD1.5533.112.7MOn
12 Jun 2026173.0 USD11.6%101.8 USD98.81 USD1.3265.032.9MOn
5 Jun 2026155.1 USD13.5%98.16 USD98.26 USD1.0553.581.5MOn
29 May 2026136.7 USD9.7%95.21 USD97.80 USD0.8331.021.2MOn
22 May 2026124.6 USD1.5%93.13 USD97.47 USD0.8223.951.1MOn
15 May 2026122.7 USD1.4%91.45 USD97.23 USD0.8224.522.0MOn
8 May 2026121.0 USD-3.8%89.80 USD96.98 USD0.7723.121.8MOn
1 May 2026125.7 USD2.7%88.08 USD96.76 USD0.6335.802.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.