- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
GCT
NASDAQ
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Latest close
43.74 USD
21.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 10.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 21.2%, after a 31.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 58/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 5d.
Setup score
55
out of 100
Latest Close
43.74 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
21.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
31.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
8.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
78.8%
41 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
21.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move 31.7%.
Indicator stack
43/41
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Volatility
58/100 conviction; expected move 18.7%.
News sentiment
54/100
50 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
5d
Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 10.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 21.2%, after a 31.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1312-week average 0.45
12-week confirmation
Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.13Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 31.7% over four weeks, 8.9% over 12 weeks, and 108.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year41
Trend breadth78.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.71Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change49.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership9.97Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change156.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 93%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength95/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Value90/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Quality64/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Momentum83/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Growth93/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework84/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 9.1x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 8.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 11.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 23.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 12.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 12.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 22.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 16.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 18.0% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 2.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 4.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 4.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
GCT shows volatility options pressure with a 58/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.05, expected move of 18.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction58/100
Expected move18.7%
Put/call volume0.05
Insider activity7 / 3
7 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.
14 positive · 35 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move18.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+26.6%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-12.5%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+21.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses9
Recent vol9.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.2% / -5.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Technology
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-3.3%
Trend breadth56.0%
Trend56.0%active weekly trend signals
MD46.0%positive activity pressure
RS54.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Software - Infrastructure
4-week rank1 / 100
Group average-2.4%
Trend breadth49.0%
Trend49.0%active weekly trend signals
MD66.0%positive activity pressure
RS43.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape49/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis14/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.13; No reversal markers Factors82/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Cornerstone Growth rank 21; Buyback Yield rank 14; Small Cap Core rank 15 SVQF84/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 118.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options37/100GCT shows volatility options pressure with a 58/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.05, expected move of 18.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 18.7% Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.
Is GigaCloud Technology Inc (GCT) Overvalued After 3.6% Rally? G Insiders7 / 37 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 43.74 USD | 21.2% | 39.51 USD | 26.33 USD | -0.71 | 9.97 | 3.2M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 36.09 USD | -5.1% | 39.34 USD | 26.10 USD | -1.15 | -7.98 | 2.9M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 38.01 USD | 10.5% | 39.48 USD | 25.93 USD | -1.21 | -4.31 | 3.3M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 34.41 USD | 3.6% | 39.56 USD | 25.74 USD | -1.40 | -16.52 | 2.8M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 33.21 USD | 3.7% | 39.76 USD | 25.57 USD | -1.41 | -17.69 | 2.4M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 32.03 USD | -5.7% | 39.98 USD | 25.40 USD | -1.37 | -19.68 | 3.9M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 33.98 USD | -0.4% | 40.15 USD | 25.24 USD | -1.40 | -18.37 | 3.3M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 34.10 USD | 8.2% | 40.18 USD | 25.07 USD | -1.28 | -15.57 | 3.5M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 31.53 USD | -12.5% | 40.06 USD | 24.90 USD | -1.25 | -19.76 | 4.0M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 36.04 USD | -5.6% | 40.11 USD | 24.75 USD | -0.98 | -12.13 | 2.6M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 38.19 USD | 5.9% | 39.84 USD | 24.56 USD | -0.61 | -3.69 | 3.8M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 36.06 USD | -10.3% | 39.52 USD | 24.36 USD | -0.29 | -7.38 | 4.1M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 40.18 USD | -10.9% | 39.20 USD | 24.16 USD | 0.25 | 3.39 | 6.2M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 45.10 USD | -3.5% | 38.74 USD | 23.93 USD | 0.39 | 23.60 | 3.1M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.