BANF NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

BancFirst Corporation · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

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Latest close 112.8 USD
-3.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 32.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.2%, after a -1.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 44/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 75d.

Setup score 47 out of 100
Latest Close 112.8 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.2% latest completed week
4W Return -1.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 38.5% 20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 8-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -1.0%. Indicator stack 49/67 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 44/100 conviction; expected move 12.6%. News sentiment 51/100 54 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 75d Next report is scheduled for 16 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 32.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.2%, after a -1.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4112-week average 0.20

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.41Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

3 accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.0% over four weeks, 0.3% over 12 weeks, and -6.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 8 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.2%
4W-1.0%
12W0.3%
26W3.1%
52W-6.5%
Active trend streak8 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-20.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.03Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change30.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength79/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Value74/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Quality85/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Momentum22/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Growth20/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework52/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
15.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
8.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
14.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
76.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
54.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
72.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-50.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
7.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-16.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

BANF shows bullish options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.32, expected move of 12.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction44/100
Expected move12.6%
Put/call volume0.32
Pressure60
Speculation14
Volatility76
Trend agreement29
Open options detail
Insider activity11 / 9

11 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.

9 positive · 39 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings75dNext report is scheduled for 16 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move12.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.3%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-5.8%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week-3.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape47/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 47/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis60/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.41; No reversal markers Factors66/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 55; Small Cap Core rank 67 SVQF52/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 349.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options52/100

BANF shows bullish options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.32, expected move of 12.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 12.6% Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.

BANF|BancFirst Corp|Price:112.150|Chg%:-1.320 Insiders11 / 9

11 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings75d

Next report is scheduled for 16 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026112.8 USD-3.2%111.8 USD104.9 USD1.02-10.03942.8KOn
24 Jul 2026116.6 USD0.4%111.6 USD104.7 USD1.10-7.06588.8KOn
17 Jul 2026116.1 USD1.8%111.3 USD104.6 USD1.21-9.38662.3KOn
10 Jul 2026114.1 USD0.1%111.2 USD104.5 USD1.19-15.32693.5KOn
3 Jul 2026114.0 USD-0.1%111.1 USD104.3 USD1.27-14.52857.7KOn
26 Jun 2026114.1 USD2.9%110.9 USD104.2 USD1.09-14.321.8MOn
19 Jun 2026110.9 USD-4.3%110.8 USD104.0 USD0.71-21.021.1MOn
12 Jun 2026115.8 USD5.3%110.7 USD103.8 USD0.48-15.93754.0KOn
5 Jun 2026109.9 USD0.1%110.6 USD103.6 USD0.04-18.88806.6KOff
29 May 2026109.8 USD-0.9%110.5 USD103.5 USD0.04-23.15570.4KOff
22 May 2026110.9 USD4.2%110.5 USD103.4 USD0.17-20.88711.5KOff
15 May 2026106.4 USD-5.4%110.5 USD103.2 USD0.25-23.79673.2KOn
8 May 2026112.5 USD0.3%110.7 USD103.0 USD0.56-20.38632.9KOn
1 May 2026112.2 USD-1.2%110.9 USD102.7 USD0.55-16.99618.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.