What the company does
Toagosei Co., Ltd. Manufactures and sells chemical products. The company operates through Core Chemicals Business, Polymer/Oligomer Business, Adhesive Materials Business, High-performance Materials Business, Resin Processed Products Business, and Other segments. It provides commodity chemicals, such as liquid caustic soda, liquid chlorine, synthetic hydrochloric acid, sodium hypochlorite, caustic potash, super potash, iron perchloride solution, and Aron Zia Clean 200 hypochlorous acid solution; acrylic acid, acrylic esters, acrylamide tertiary butyl sulfonic acid, and ethylene carbonate; and oxygen, nitrogen, and argon industrial gases. The company also provides dispersants, thickeners, scale inhibitors, pressure sensitive adhesives, binders, paint vehicles, gelling …
What the weekly tape is saying
4045 closed the latest completed week at 1,728 JPY. The 4-week return is -1.2% and the 12-week return is 1.6%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.89. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 49/100 composite read.
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
16-week signal tape
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price map
- Trend Line
- 1,724 JPY
- Vs Trend Line
- 0.2%
- Fair Value
- 1,439 JPY
- Vs Fair Value
- 20.1%
- 52W High
- 1,922 JPY
- 52W Low
- 1,337 JPY
- Drawdown
- -10.1%
- Range Position
- 66.8%
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 47 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 47
- 52W Active Breadth
- 90.4%
- Sector Scope
- JP Basic Materials
- Sector Rank
- 105 of 264
- Sector Percentile
- 60.5%
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
JP Basic Materials
- Tracked Peers
- 100
- 4W Rank
- 53 of 100
- Avg 1W
- -1.4%
- Avg 4W
- 0.5%
- Trend Breadth
- 64.0%
- Positive MD
- 42.0%
JP Specialty Chemicals
- Tracked Peers
- 100
- 4W Rank
- 61 of 100
- Avg 1W
- -2.2%
- Avg 4W
- 2.8%
- Trend Breadth
- 60.0%
- Positive RS
- 25.0%
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- -0.89
- 4W MD Change
- -2.6%
- Relative Strength
- -18.22
- 4W RS Change
- -40.7%
- Expectation
- Positive
- Probability
- 58.85%
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 1.5M
- 13W Average
- 1.4M
- 52W Average
- 1.3M
- Vs 13W
- 1.1x
- Vs 52W
- 1.1x
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 1.8%
- 52W Volatility
- 2.2%
- Upside Weeks
- 36
- Downside Weeks
- 16
- Downside Breadth
- 30.8%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 1.7% / -2.2%
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- JPX
- Country
- JP
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Specialty Chemicals
- Currency
- JPY
- Market Cap
- 186.8B
Opportunity signals
- Trend Signal is active with a 47-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Risk signals
- Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
Watch next
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1,728 JPY | -0.2% | 1,724 JPY | 1,439 JPY | -0.89 | -18.22 | 1.5M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1,732 JPY | -1.6% | 1,718 JPY | 1,435 JPY | -0.90 | -19.22 | 1.5M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 1,759 JPY | 2.7% | 1,710 JPY | 1,431 JPY | -0.94 | -18.09 | 1.3M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 1,714 JPY | -2.0% | 1,702 JPY | 1,427 JPY | -0.90 | -16.88 | 1.4M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 1,748 JPY | 1.7% | 1,695 JPY | 1,423 JPY | -0.87 | -12.95 | 1.1M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 1,719 JPY | 0.2% | 1,686 JPY | 1,419 JPY | -0.76 | -16.53 | 721.0K | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 1,716 JPY | -1.7% | 1,678 JPY | 1,415 JPY | -0.57 | -12.60 | 1.8M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 1,745 JPY | -3.2% | 1,670 JPY | 1,411 JPY | -0.55 | -11.72 | 1.4M | On |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 1,802 JPY | 0.6% | 1,662 JPY | 1,406 JPY | -0.46 | -7.30 | 1.4M | On |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 1,791 JPY | 2.6% | 1,652 JPY | 1,402 JPY | -0.48 | -5.69 | 1.7M | On |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 1,745 JPY | 0.8% | 1,644 JPY | 1,397 JPY | -0.29 | -1.87 | 1.4M | On |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 1,731 JPY | 1.7% | 1,637 JPY | 1,393 JPY | 0.16 | -3.38 | 1.6M | On |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 1,702 JPY | -1.8% | 1,629 JPY | 1,389 JPY | 0.65 | -5.30 | 1.2M | On |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 1,732 JPY | -4.9% | 1,623 JPY | 1,384 JPY | 1.19 | -4.63 | 2.7M | On |