NXT NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock · Technology · Solar

Latest close 89.87 USD
-10.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -22.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.2%, after a -20.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 35/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 29 out of 100
Latest Close 89.87 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -10.2% latest completed week
4W Return -20.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -28.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 92.3% 48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -22.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.2%, after a -20.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5312-week average 0.78

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.53Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -20.4% over four weeks, -28.6% over 12 weeks, and 58.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-10.2%
4W-20.4%
12W-28.6%
26W-23.2%
52W58.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.19Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-80.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-18.34Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-2705.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength39/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Value10/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Quality69/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Momentum88/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Growth94/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
25.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
18.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
32.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
20.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
17.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
45.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
20.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
15.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-12.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

NXT shows mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.79, expected move of 14.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction35/100
Expected move14.7%
Put/call volume0.79
Pressure12
Speculation41
Volatility94
Trend agreement44
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.

14 positive · 22 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move14.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-44.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.8%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-15.9%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-10.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses11
Recent vol10.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.9% / -6.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202689.87 USD-10.2%115.7 USD64.26 USD-1.19-18.3420.3MOff
24 Jul 2026100.0 USD-3.0%115.8 USD63.95 USD-1.20-8.3011.3MOff
17 Jul 2026103.1 USD-7.5%115.5 USD63.58 USD-1.09-6.6419.4MOff
10 Jul 2026111.5 USD-1.2%115.1 USD63.17 USD-0.95-2.7610.8MOff
3 Jul 2026112.8 USD5.5%114.2 USD62.70 USD-0.660.7013.2MOn
26 Jun 2026107.0 USD-15.1%113.5 USD62.22 USD-0.25-3.2735.7MOn
19 Jun 2026125.9 USD3.3%113.0 USD61.79 USD0.289.349.7MOn
12 Jun 2026121.9 USD-7.4%111.7 USD61.23 USD0.539.4913.2MOn
5 Jun 2026131.6 USD-15.9%110.7 USD60.71 USD0.7921.7410.3MOn
29 May 2026156.4 USD19.8%109.8 USD60.13 USD0.5539.5110.1MOn
22 May 2026130.5 USD-9.6%108.0 USD59.38 USD0.0521.3513.3MOn
15 May 2026144.3 USD14.6%106.9 USD58.80 USD-0.1237.0520.9MOn
8 May 2026125.9 USD5.0%105.0 USD58.13 USD-0.4620.617.9MOn
1 May 2026119.9 USD-1.2%103.6 USD57.57 USD-0.3422.507.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.