TD NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Toronto Dominion Bank · Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

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Latest close 119.8 USD
-3.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 90.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.1%, after a 0.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 42/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; earnings are due in 27d.

Setup score 78 out of 100
Latest Close 119.8 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.1% latest completed week
4W Return 0.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 11.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 70-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 0.8%. Indicator stack 100/80 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 64.30% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 42/100 conviction; expected move 4.1%. News sentiment 58/100 42 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 27d Next report is scheduled for 27 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 90.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.1%, after a 0.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 1.0012-week average 0.94

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure1.00Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.8% over four weeks, 11.6% over 12 weeks, and 64.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 70 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.1%
4W0.8%
12W11.6%
26W26.9%
52W64.0%
Active trend streak70 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.53Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change28.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership19.35Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-16.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Oct 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength41/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
Value29/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality33/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Momentum90/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Growth8/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
13.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
23.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
52.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
16.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-5.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-14.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-46.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
4.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
13.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

TD shows bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.57, expected move of 4.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction42/100
Expected move4.1%
Put/call volume0.57
Pressure25
Speculation41
Volatility34
Trend agreement74
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 2

0 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

23 positive · 16 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings27dNext report is scheduled for 27 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move4.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.6%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-3.1%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week-3.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses0
Recent vol1.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split36/16Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.0% / -1.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape82/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 82/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis84/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 1.00; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 64.30%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 64.30% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors46/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 14 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options64/100

TD shows bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.57, expected move of 4.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 4.1% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

TD’s New Responsible AI Principles Could Be A Game Changer For Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD) Insiders0 / 2

0 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings27d

Next report is scheduled for 27 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow3 items

3 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026119.8 USD-3.1%104.1 USD68.28 USD1.5319.3514.4MOn
17 Jul 2026123.6 USD2.5%103.2 USD67.88 USD1.5723.2413.9MOn
10 Jul 2026120.5 USD1.7%102.1 USD67.45 USD1.4119.1824.7MOn
3 Jul 2026118.5 USD-0.3%101.1 USD67.04 USD1.2519.549.5MOn
26 Jun 2026118.8 USD0.3%100.0 USD66.62 USD1.1923.2111.4MOn
19 Jun 2026118.5 USD1.7%98.81 USD66.20 USD1.1420.799.2MOn
12 Jun 2026116.6 USD3.7%97.56 USD65.77 USD1.0620.6512.1MOn
5 Jun 2026112.4 USD-1.0%96.34 USD65.37 USD0.8817.7513.7MOn
29 May 2026113.6 USD1.5%95.24 USD64.98 USD0.7316.6410.9MOn
22 May 2026111.9 USD3.9%94.15 USD64.57 USD0.6117.185.6MOn
15 May 2026107.6 USD0.2%93.08 USD64.18 USD0.4714.357.1MOn
8 May 2026107.5 USD0.1%92.09 USD63.83 USD0.4915.105.4MOn
1 May 2026107.3 USD2.2%91.08 USD63.48 USD0.4518.3011.8MOn
24 Apr 2026105.0 USD-0.3%90.14 USD63.13 USD0.1417.579.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.