AFRM MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Affirm Holdings, Inc. · Financial Services · Credit Services

Latest close 1,240 MXN
-4.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 43.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.6%, after a -12.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 47/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 32 out of 100
Latest Close 1,240 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.6% latest completed week
4W Return -12.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 12.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 34.6% 18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 43.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.6%, after a -12.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.0x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6512-week average 0.32

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.65Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -12.7% over four weeks, 12.6% over 12 weeks, and -2.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.6%
4W-12.7%
12W12.6%
26W16.7%
52W-2.1%
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.83Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-10.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.16Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-119.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment47/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.

4 positive · 17 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+29.8%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-14.3%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-4.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks1
Modest losses3
Sharp losses7
Recent vol7.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.1% / -7.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20261,240 MXN-4.6%1,110 MXN944.0 MXN0.83-2.16166On
24 Jul 20261,300 MXN-3.0%1,114 MXN937.9 MXN1.053.0491On
17 Jul 20261,340 MXN-9.3%1,115 MXN931.4 MXN1.185.58384On
10 Jul 20261,478 MXN4.1%1,117 MXN924.7 MXN1.1316.3798On
3 Jul 20261,420 MXN1.4%1,111 MXN917.0 MXN0.9210.9416Off
26 Jun 20261,400 MXN7.7%1,105 MXN909.4 MXN0.789.0012Off
19 Jun 20261,300 MXN16.3%1,099 MXN902.2 MXN0.840.400Off
12 Jun 20261,118 MXN2.0%1,096 MXN895.6 MXN0.84-14.0920Off
5 Jun 20261,095 MXN-14.3%1,102 MXN890.3 MXN1.03-13.842.0KOff
29 May 20261,278 MXN10.2%1,110 MXN885.2 MXN1.18-3.2335.4KOff
22 May 20261,160 MXN2.8%1,111 MXN878.7 MXN0.96-11.72121Off
15 May 20261,128 MXN2.5%1,119 MXN872.9 MXN0.83-13.7310.6KOff
8 May 20261,101 MXN1.0%1,123 MXN867.2 MXN0.50-18.143.6KOff
1 May 20261,090 MXN0.0%1,131 MXN861.5 MXN-0.08-16.5813Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.