GBDC NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Golub Capital BDC Inc · Financial Services · Asset Management

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Latest close 12.78 USD
-2.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 1.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 60.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a 1.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 35/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 43 out of 100
Latest Close 12.78 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.1% latest completed week
4W Return 1.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -5.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 25.0% 13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 1.5%. Indicator stack 28/40 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 35/100 conviction; expected move 5.9%. News sentiment 52/100 58 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 1.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 60.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a 1.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5312-week average 0.43

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.53Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.5% over four weeks, -5.0% over 12 weeks, and -7.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.1%
4W1.5%
12W-5.0%
26W-1.5%
52W-7.3%
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year13
Trend breadth25.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.03Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-115.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.27Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change42.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength47/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Value67/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Quality35/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Momentum22/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Growth74/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
16.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
18.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
75.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
57.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
41.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
11.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-30.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
11.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
4.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
15.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
10.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

GBDC shows mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.62, expected move of 5.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction35/100
Expected move5.9%
Put/call volume0.62
Pressure12
Speculation8
Volatility75
Trend agreement79
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.

10 positive · 42 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.2%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-6.3%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week-2.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.8% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape41/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 41/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis46/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.53; No reversal markers Factors42/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 14; Small Cap Core rank 32 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options54/100

GBDC shows mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.62, expected move of 5.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 5.9% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.

Acadian Asset Management (NYSE:AAMI) Reaches New 52-Week High After Earnings Beat Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202612.78 USD-2.1%12.54 USD12.43 USD-0.03-8.273.8MOn
17 Jul 202613.06 USD1.1%12.55 USD12.41 USD0.07-8.255.1MOn
10 Jul 202612.92 USD-0.5%12.54 USD12.39 USD0.02-13.505.0MOn
3 Jul 202612.99 USD3.2%12.54 USD12.37 USD0.16-12.026.9MOn
26 Jun 202612.59 USD1.9%12.55 USD12.35 USD0.17-14.455.8MOff
19 Jun 202612.35 USD-4.7%12.56 USD12.33 USD0.32-20.296.2MOff
12 Jun 202612.95 USD1.9%12.57 USD12.31 USD0.42-14.814.0MOff
5 Jun 202612.71 USD-0.9%12.57 USD12.29 USD0.43-15.046.3MOff
29 May 202612.83 USD2.1%12.57 USD12.26 USD0.48-18.635.1MOff
22 May 202612.56 USD-1.3%12.57 USD12.24 USD0.57-18.615.6MOff
15 May 202612.73 USD-0.8%12.59 USD12.22 USD0.65-17.146.2MOff
8 May 202612.83 USD-4.6%12.60 USD12.20 USD0.74-17.329.1MOff
1 May 202613.45 USD3.8%12.58 USD12.17 USD0.58-9.177.5MOff
24 Apr 202612.95 USD-2.5%12.55 USD12.15 USD0.35-11.629.2MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.