TMUS NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

T-Mobile US Inc · Communication Services · Telecom Services

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Latest close 172.7 USD
-4.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.1%, after a -2.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 32/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 82d.

Setup score 28 out of 100
Latest Close 172.7 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.1% latest completed week
4W Return -2.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -10.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -4.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -2.7%. Indicator stack 0/55 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 32/100 conviction; expected move 5.2%. News sentiment 52/100 28 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 82d Next report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.1%, after a -2.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1012-week average 0.12

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.7% over four weeks, -10.3% over 12 weeks, and -25.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.1%
4W-2.7%
12W-10.3%
26W-11.5%
52W-25.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.11Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change83.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.79Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change11.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength79/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Value74/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum14/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Growth72/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework52/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
18.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
13.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
54.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
19.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
45.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
9.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-13.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
10.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
6.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
8.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

TMUS shows mixed options pressure with a 32/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.03, expected move of 5.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction32/100
Expected move5.2%
Put/call volume1.03
Pressure5
Speculation41
Volatility48
Trend agreement63
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 4

9 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.

6 positive · 20 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings82dNext report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.2%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-6.4%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week-4.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape26/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 26/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis10/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.10; No reversal markers Factors66/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 9 SVQF52/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 351.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options49/100

TMUS shows mixed options pressure with a 32/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.03, expected move of 5.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 5.2% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.

Lazard Asset Management LLC Has $8.14 Million Stake in T-Mobile US, Inc. $TMUS Insiders9 / 4

9 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings82d

Next report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026172.7 USD-4.1%194.3 USD195.0 USD-0.11-23.7931.3MOff
24 Jul 2026180.1 USD-6.4%195.2 USD194.7 USD-0.26-20.8827.3MOff
17 Jul 2026192.4 USD2.6%195.8 USD194.4 USD-0.34-17.5817.8MOff
10 Jul 2026187.6 USD5.7%195.9 USD194.0 USD-0.55-23.5224.7MOff
3 Jul 2026177.5 USD-2.8%196.1 USD193.7 USD-0.65-26.9329.5MOff
26 Jun 2026182.7 USD0.6%197.1 USD193.4 USD-0.68-24.9131.8MOff
19 Jun 2026181.7 USD-3.9%197.9 USD193.1 USD-0.82-29.3330.1MOff
12 Jun 2026189.1 USD6.2%198.7 USD192.7 USD-0.90-25.1826.7MOff
5 Jun 2026178.1 USD-5.0%199.5 USD192.3 USD-0.95-28.5527.1MOff
29 May 2026187.5 USD-1.5%200.3 USD192.0 USD-0.88-28.9418.6MOff
22 May 2026190.4 USD3.4%201.0 USD191.6 USD-0.61-26.5620.2MOff
15 May 2026184.2 USD-4.3%201.8 USD191.2 USD-0.32-28.8725.9MOff
8 May 2026192.6 USD-1.2%203.2 USD190.9 USD-0.11-26.6421.9MOff
1 May 2026195.0 USD3.3%204.3 USD190.5 USD0.04-22.5237.9MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.