ALG NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Alamo Group Inc · Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

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Latest close 159.1 USD
-3.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 15.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.8%, after a -6.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 56/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 29 out of 100
Latest Close 159.1 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.8% latest completed week
4W Return -6.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -2.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 15.4% 8 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -6.4%. Indicator stack 8/76 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 56/100 conviction; expected move 7.6%. News sentiment 57/100 52 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 15.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.8%, after a -6.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0812-week average 0.06

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.4% over four weeks, -2.9% over 12 weeks, and -25.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.8%
4W-6.4%
12W-2.9%
26W-18.4%
52W-25.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year8
Trend breadth15.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.05Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change312.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-18.62Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-15.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength47/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Value76/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Quality25/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Momentum15/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Growth18/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework69/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
19.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
24.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
10.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
10.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
9.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
2.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-12.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-31.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

ALG shows bearish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 7.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction56/100
Expected move7.6%
Put/call volume
Pressure-100
Speculation0
Volatility58
Trend agreement31
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 0

9 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

19 positive · 30 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move7.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-31.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.7%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-21.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-3.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape28/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis17/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.08; No reversal markers Factors40/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 43; Small Cap Core rank 38 SVQF69/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 314.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options31/100

ALG shows bearish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 7.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 7.6% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

Dimensional Fund Advisors LP Purchases 27,597 Shares of Alamo Group, Inc. $ALG Insiders9 / 0

9 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026159.1 USD-3.8%173.2 USD184.7 USD0.05-18.62520.1KOff
24 Jul 2026165.3 USD1.8%173.5 USD184.9 USD0.14-15.33476.1KOff
17 Jul 2026162.4 USD0.8%173.8 USD185.0 USD0.26-18.04625.1KOff
10 Jul 2026161.1 USD-5.2%174.1 USD185.2 USD0.25-20.69883.0KOff
3 Jul 2026169.9 USD0.9%174.7 USD185.3 USD-0.02-16.14751.7KOff
26 Jun 2026168.5 USD4.6%174.5 USD185.4 USD-0.43-15.861.1MOff
19 Jun 2026161.0 USD4.9%174.2 USD185.5 USD-0.88-22.151.1MOff
12 Jun 2026153.4 USD2.7%174.2 USD185.6 USD-1.04-25.89676.5KOff
5 Jun 2026149.4 USD-0.9%174.4 USD185.8 USD-0.96-28.19786.0KOff
29 May 2026150.7 USD0.5%175.0 USD185.9 USD-0.67-30.05647.9KOff
22 May 2026150.0 USD1.9%175.9 USD186.1 USD-0.47-30.011.0MOff
15 May 2026147.3 USD-10.1%177.2 USD186.2 USD-0.40-31.331.1MOff
8 May 2026163.8 USD-4.4%178.3 USD186.4 USD-0.32-24.211.5MOff
1 May 2026171.3 USD-0.3%178.9 USD186.5 USD-0.39-19.46778.3KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.