- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
HDI
GER
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
The Home Depot, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail
Latest close
287.5 EUR
-1.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a -7.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.
Setup score
37
out of 100
Latest Close
287.5 EUR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-1.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-7.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
6.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
17.3%
9 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -7.4%.
Indicator stack
10/66
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
53/100
4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a -7.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3612-week average 0.17
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.36Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -7.4% over four weeks, 6.1% over 12 weeks, and -7.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth17.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.75Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change26.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.58Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-130.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 94%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength19/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Value20/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Quality71/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Momentum33/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Growth29/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework54/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 20.7x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 14.0x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 4.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 33.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 12.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 8.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 20.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 3.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -4.5% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -22.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.
1 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.8%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-6.0%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-1.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank72 / 86
Group average-1.5%
Trend breadth32.6%
Trend32.6%active weekly trend signals
MD57.0%positive activity pressure
RS30.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Home Improvement Retail
4-week rank3 / 3
Group average2.4%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape35/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis24/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.36; No reversal markers Factors35/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 90 SVQF54/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 171.0 of 372 Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.
ETFs Investing in Home Depot, Inc. Stocks Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 287.5 EUR | -1.2% | 294.0 EUR | 310.7 EUR | 0.75 | -10.58 | 1.5K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 291.0 EUR | -4.0% | 294.1 EUR | 310.6 EUR | 0.94 | -7.87 | 1.8K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 303.0 EUR | 1.1% | 294.0 EUR | 310.5 EUR | 1.00 | -3.22 | 1.1K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 299.9 EUR | -3.4% | 293.7 EUR | 310.2 EUR | 0.86 | -5.13 | 903 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 310.5 EUR | 1.4% | 293.7 EUR | 310.0 EUR | 0.59 | -4.59 | 1.5K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 306.1 EUR | 5.8% | 293.3 EUR | 309.6 EUR | -0.00 | -1.81 | 307 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 289.4 EUR | 2.3% | 293.1 EUR | 309.3 EUR | -0.47 | -8.38 | 35 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 283.0 EUR | 5.1% | 293.1 EUR | 309.1 EUR | -0.73 | -9.28 | 261 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 269.2 EUR | -1.0% | 293.9 EUR | 308.9 EUR | -0.88 | -14.28 | 65 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 271.9 EUR | 1.8% | 295.4 EUR | 308.8 EUR | -0.85 | -14.88 | 1.2K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 267.2 EUR | 4.7% | 297.1 EUR | 308.7 EUR | -0.91 | -15.90 | 2.8K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 255.1 EUR | -5.8% | 299.0 EUR | 308.6 EUR | -1.01 | -16.85 | 2.7K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 270.9 EUR | -2.4% | 301.4 EUR | 308.5 EUR | -0.97 | -13.53 | 1.1K | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 277.5 EUR | -3.2% | 302.9 EUR | 308.3 EUR | -0.80 | -11.52 | 593 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.