CIFR MEX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Cipher Digital Inc. · Technology · Information Technology Services

Latest close 402.5 MXN
32.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 32.0%, after a -8.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 59 out of 100
Latest Close 402.5 MXN 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 32.0% latest completed week
4W Return -8.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 28.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 73.1% 38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 4.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 9-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 32.0%, after a -8.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 4.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7612-week average 0.68

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.76Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -8.9% over four weeks, 28.5% over 12 weeks, and 230.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 9 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W32.0%
4W-8.9%
12W28.5%
26W30.7%
52W230.7%
Active trend streak9 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.03Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-103.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership36.89Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-36.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.

3 positive · 13 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-21.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility15.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+32.0%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-21.8%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+32.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses10
Recent vol15.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol18.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew16.0% / -9.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026402.5 MXN32.0%325.0 MXN189.0 MXN-0.0336.8935.3KOn
17 Jul 2026305.0 MXN-21.8%320.7 MXN186.9 MXN0.135.127.2KOn
10 Jul 2026390.0 MXN8.8%320.3 MXN185.8 MXN0.5636.184.4KOn
3 Jul 2026358.4 MXN-18.9%318.7 MXN183.8 MXN0.7726.304.6KOn
26 Jun 2026442.0 MXN-14.2%318.4 MXN182.0 MXN0.9258.035.0KOn
19 Jun 2026515.0 MXN20.7%316.1 MXN179.4 MXN1.0587.4122On
12 Jun 2026426.8 MXN14.1%307.7 MXN176.1 MXN1.0159.511.6KOn
5 Jun 2026374.0 MXN-8.3%302.3 MXN173.5 MXN0.9647.242.4KOn
29 May 2026408.0 MXN7.5%302.6 MXN171.4 MXN0.9958.4025.6KOn
22 May 2026379.5 MXN6.2%300.6 MXN169.0 MXN0.6851.638.7KOff
15 May 2026357.5 MXN2.1%300.7 MXN166.7 MXN0.5147.024.4KOff
8 May 2026350.0 MXN11.7%300.1 MXN164.7 MXN0.4243.2510.1KOff
1 May 2026313.2 MXN-4.3%299.0 MXN162.7 MXN0.1735.064.3KOff
24 Apr 2026327.1 MXN-0.6%297.7 MXN161.1 MXN-0.1941.2810.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.