TRAVELFOOD NSI Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

TRAVEL FOOD SERVICES LTD · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

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Latest close 1,305 INR
1.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a -0.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 46 out of 100
Latest Close 1,305 INR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.5% latest completed week
4W Return -0.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 4.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 13.5% 7 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 7-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 21.88% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.5% Latest completed week; four-week move -0.4%. Indicator stack 32/49 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 21.88% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 53/100 30 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a -0.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7512-week average 0.56

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.75Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.4% over four weeks, 4.6% over 12 weeks, and 27.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 7 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.5%
4W-0.4%
12W4.6%
26W22.3%
52W27.2%
Active trend streak7 weeks
Active weeks in one year7
Trend breadth13.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.17Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-47.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.19Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength55/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 46; rank 1 is best.
Value15/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Quality97/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Momentum80/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Growth26/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework45/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
37.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
10.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
21.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
69.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
29.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
21.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
22.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-2.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
21.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-21.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 30 relevant articles.

6 positive · 22 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.0%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-12.0%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+1.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol5.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -2.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape45/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis59/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 4/12.

Activity pressure 0.75; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 21.88%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 21.88% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors61/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 48; Small Cap Core rank 87 SVQF45/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 880.5 of 1590 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 30 relevant articles.

CJP Victory Party: Mahesh Jethmalani Shares Video, Asks Who Funded Travel, Food And Logistic During Protest Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20261,305 INR1.5%1,223 INR1,238 INR0.176.1969.5KOn
24 Jul 20261,286 INR-0.6%1,219 INR1,237 INR0.207.8663.9KOn
17 Jul 20261,294 INR-1.3%1,215 INR1,236 INR0.306.26112.5KOn
10 Jul 20261,310 INR-0.0%1,213 INR1,235 INR0.378.5297.7KOn
3 Jul 20261,311 INR-1.7%1,212 INR1,234 INR0.32-125.8KOn
26 Jun 20261,334 INR-1.5%1,212 INR1,232 INR0.26-0On
19 Jun 20261,354 INR9.0%1,212 INR1,230 INR0.16-44.2KOn
12 Jun 20261,242 INR-3.3%1,212 INR1,227 INR-0.01-160.3KOff
5 Jun 20261,284 INR4.8%1,213 INR1,227 INR-0.07-36.1KOff
29 May 20261,225 INR8.3%1,213 INR1,226 INR0.03-525.4KOff
22 May 20261,131 INR2.9%1,217 INR1,226 INR0.13-648.5KOff
15 May 20261,098 INR-12.0%1,223 INR1,228 INR0.32-256.4KOff
8 May 20261,248 INR-0.9%1,232 INR1,231 INR0.55-159.7KOff
1 May 20261,260 INR-2.0%1,235 INR1,231 INR0.59-136.0KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.