CTRE NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

CareTrust REIT Inc. · Real Estate · Reit - Healthcare Facilities

Latest close 41.94 USD
-3.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.0%, after a 0.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 41/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 62/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 60 out of 100
Latest Close 41.94 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.0% latest completed week
4W Return 0.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 98.1% 51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.0%, after a 0.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7312-week average 0.66

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.73Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.4% over four weeks, 1.8% over 12 weeks, and 35.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.0%
4W0.4%
12W1.8%
26W13.5%
52W35.0%
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.36Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change190.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership3.80Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-21.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 95%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength32/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Value10/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Quality77/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Momentum70/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Growth100/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
29.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
21.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
21.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
73.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
83.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
91.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
90.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
106.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
55.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-10.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-7.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

CTRE shows bullish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.24, expected move of 6.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction41/100
Expected move6.5%
Put/call volume0.24
Pressure67
Speculation6
Volatility50
Trend agreement25
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment62/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 54 relevant articles.

26 positive · 28 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.2%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-9.8%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-3.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains10
Flat weeks1
Modest losses8
Sharp losses2
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202641.94 USD-3.0%39.19 USD28.54 USD0.363.807.5MOn
24 Jul 202643.25 USD0.9%38.99 USD28.39 USD0.348.4311.8MOn
17 Jul 202642.88 USD6.6%38.75 USD28.23 USD0.257.2712.7MOn
10 Jul 202640.22 USD-3.7%38.51 USD28.07 USD-0.19-0.5810.5MOn
3 Jul 202641.76 USD3.3%38.35 USD27.93 USD-0.394.8211.7MOn
26 Jun 202640.44 USD10.2%38.19 USD27.77 USD-0.743.9720.3MOn
19 Jun 202636.71 USD0.6%38.07 USD27.63 USD-0.92-7.6318.8MOff
12 Jun 202636.50 USD-2.9%38.05 USD27.50 USD-0.63-7.3018.8MOn
5 Jun 202637.61 USD-7.0%38.00 USD27.38 USD-0.37-3.8611.0MOn
29 May 202640.43 USD-0.8%37.93 USD27.25 USD-0.080.918.7MOn
22 May 202640.75 USD0.0%37.72 USD27.10 USD-0.173.4117.0MOn
15 May 202640.75 USD-1.1%37.51 USD26.94 USD-0.404.5711.1MOn
8 May 202641.20 USD6.1%37.28 USD26.79 USD-0.496.248.9MOn
1 May 202638.81 USD2.3%36.99 USD26.63 USD-0.552.6610.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.