MILDEF STO Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

MilDef Group AB (publ) · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Latest close 216.6 SEK
-1.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 34.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a 11.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 62/100.

Setup score 63 out of 100
Latest Close 216.6 SEK 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.2% latest completed week
4W Return 11.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 32.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 25.0% 13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 13-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.77% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 34.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a 11.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8412-week average 0.70

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.84Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 11.4% over four weeks, 32.1% over 12 weeks, and 28.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 13 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.2%
4W11.4%
12W32.1%
26W66.1%
52W28.4%
Active trend streak13 weeks
Active weeks in one year13
Trend breadth25.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.88Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-7.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership23.25Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change140.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment62/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 15 relevant articles.

7 positive · 8 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+42.0%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-10.1%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week-1.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses8
Recent vol8.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.5% / -5.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026216.6 SEK-1.2%161.1 SEK127.0 SEK0.8823.251.1MOn
24 Jul 2026219.3 SEK16.0%157.9 SEK126.2 SEK0.9526.642.7MOn
17 Jul 2026189.1 SEK4.2%154.7 SEK125.3 SEK0.7211.021.3MOn
10 Jul 2026181.5 SEK-6.6%152.4 SEK124.6 SEK0.715.02649.7KOn
3 Jul 2026194.4 SEK11.7%150.9 SEK123.9 SEK0.959.681.3MOn
26 Jun 2026174.1 SEK-1.1%148.8 SEK123.0 SEK0.980.70425.1KOn
19 Jun 2026175.9 SEK-9.4%147.3 SEK122.3 SEK1.200.18836.9KOn
12 Jun 2026194.2 SEK-0.6%145.4 SEK121.6 SEK1.3912.04240.5KOn
5 Jun 2026195.5 SEK5.1%143.3 SEK120.8 SEK1.2411.98433.2KOn
29 May 2026185.9 SEK-1.2%141.7 SEK120.0 SEK1.204.921.4MOn
22 May 2026188.2 SEK19.5%140.7 SEK119.3 SEK1.204.341.5MOn
15 May 2026157.6 SEK-3.9%140.3 SEK118.5 SEK1.33-10.69748.9KOn
8 May 2026164.0 SEK-4.9%141.4 SEK118.0 SEK1.65-9.301.4MOn
1 May 2026172.4 SEK-8.1%142.4 SEK117.4 SEK1.42-5.531.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.