EBS VIE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Erste Group Bank AG · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Latest close 115.1 EUR
3.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a -0.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 60 out of 100
Latest Close 115.1 EUR 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.0% latest completed week
4W Return -0.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 22.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 92.3% 48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 9-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 9 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a -0.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7712-week average 0.52

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.77Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers99 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 9 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.5% over four weeks, 22.2% over 12 weeks, and 47.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 9 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.0%
4W-0.5%
12W22.2%
26W7.6%
52W47.9%
Active trend streak9 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.78Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change27.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-0.56Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-141.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.

0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.3%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-7.5%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+3.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses6
Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026115.1 EUR3.0%103.5 EUR63.14 EUR0.78-0.561.4MOn
17 Jul 2026111.7 EUR-5.0%103.0 EUR62.59 EUR0.95-2.001.4MOn
10 Jul 2026117.6 EUR-0.5%102.6 EUR62.08 EUR1.071.351.6MOn
3 Jul 2026118.2 EUR2.2%101.9 EUR61.51 EUR0.900.801.3MOn
26 Jun 2026115.7 EUR-1.0%101.1 EUR60.94 EUR0.611.332.0MOn
19 Jun 2026116.9 EUR7.2%100.4 EUR60.38 EUR0.370.681.3MOn
12 Jun 2026109.0 EUR6.2%99.41 EUR59.80 EUR0.02-1.89474.7KOn
5 Jun 2026102.6 EUR-0.4%98.78 EUR59.29 EUR-0.23-4.87401.7KOn
29 May 2026103.0 EUR4.8%98.32 EUR58.81 EUR-0.32-5.452.5MOn
22 May 202698.30 EUR1.3%97.86 EUR58.33 EUR-0.57-7.181.7MOff
15 May 202697.00 EUR-1.9%97.30 EUR57.88 EUR-0.64-6.371.8MOn
8 May 202698.85 EUR4.9%96.78 EUR57.43 EUR-0.56-4.861.9MOn
1 May 202694.20 EUR-5.6%96.25 EUR56.97 EUR-0.55-7.802.0MOn
24 Apr 202699.75 EUR-7.5%96.01 EUR56.54 EUR-0.61-1.391.4MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.