ABF LSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Name: ABF weekly investor report
Creator: Sharemaestro
License: https://sharemaestro.com/data-license/

Associated British Foods plc · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

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Latest close 2,087 GBP

4.6% latest week

Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 56.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.6%, after a 6.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 48/100.

Setup score 50 out of 100

Latest Close 2,087 GBP 31 Jul 2026

1W Return 4.6% latest completed week

4W Return 6.6% short-term follow-through

12W Return 14.7% quarterly tape

Trend Breadth 28.8% 15 of 52 weeks active

Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average

What is working

The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.

What could go wrong

Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.

What to watch next

Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.

Price follow-through 4.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 6.6%. Indicator stack 19/74 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 48/100 30 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.

01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 56.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.6%, after a 6.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Position in the 52-week range

Close Trend Fair

1,729 GBP 56.9% 2,358 GBP

Range location56.9%Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.

Trend distance9.2%Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.

Fair-value gap-3.0%Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.

High-water gap-11.5%Distance from the latest 52-week high.

02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction

30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul

Up week Down week

Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3512-week average 0.25

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.

Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.

Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.

Activity pressure0.35Current proprietary activity-pressure read.

Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.

Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 6.6% over four weeks, 14.7% over 12 weeks, and -6.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.6%

4W6.6%

12W14.7%

26W11.1%

52W-6.7%

Active trend streak1 weeks

Active weeks in one year15

Trend breadth28.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership

Pressure1.22Latest activity-pressure read.

Pressure change28.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.

Leadership-5.20Latest relative-leadership reading.

RS change53.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.

04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis

Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 28 Feb 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 83%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength53/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.

Value92/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.

Quality11/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.

Momentum11/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.

Growth4/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.

How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework57/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E: 13.6x
Price / sales: 0.7x
EV / EBITDA: 6.5x
Free-cash-flow yield: 5.8%

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin: 23.9%
Operating margin: 8.1%
Free-cash-flow margin: 5.1%
Return on invested capital: 8.2%

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth: -3.1%
EPS growth: -26.8%
Free-cash-flow growth: -41.0%
Piotroski F-score: 5/9

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield: 3.2%
Buyback yield: 4.5%
Shareholder yield: 7.7%
Net debt / EBITDA: 1.1x

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 30 relevant articles.

3 positive · 23 neutral · 4 negative

Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks

06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.

Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.

52-week drawdown-11.5%Distance below the 52-week high.

13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

30 Jan 27 Feb 3 Apr 1 May 29 May 26 Jun 31 Jul

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.

Best week+5.0%Week of 26 Jun.

Worst week-5.8%Week of 13 Mar.

Latest week+4.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3

Modest gains11

Flat weeks0

Modest losses10

Sharp losses2

Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.

Base vol3.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.

Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.

Average skew2.3% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.

07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

SectorGB Consumer Defensive

4-week rank13 / 58

Group average1.1%

Trend breadth44.8%

Trend44.8%active weekly trend signals

MD60.3%positive activity pressure

RS31.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

GNC · LSE28.5%AEP · LSE16.1%BME · LSE15.7%OCDO · LSE15.3%CCR · LSE14.4%

IndustryGB Packaged Foods

4-week rank3 / 17

Group average-1.1%

Trend breadth64.7%

Trend64.7%active weekly trend signals

MD52.9%positive activity pressure

RS29.4%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

GNC · LSE28.5%HFG · LSE13.0%ABF · LSE6.6%PRN · LSE6.5%ZAM · LSE5.7%

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape45/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.

Indicator analysis33/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.35; No reversal markers Factors41/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 14 SVQF57/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 109.0 of 254 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 30 relevant articles.

How (LSE:WTB) And (LSE:ABF) Put Consumer Stocks Back On The London Watchlist Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Week	Close	Return	Trend Line	Fair Value	Pressure	Leadership	Volume	Trend
31 Jul 2026	2,087 GBP	4.6%	1,910 GBP	2,152 GBP	1.22	-5.20	4.0M	On
24 Jul 2026	1,996 GBP	-2.8%	1,911 GBP	2,152 GBP	1.27	-8.70	3.6M	Off
17 Jul 2026	2,052 GBP	3.2%	1,916 GBP	2,153 GBP	1.24	-5.42	4.0M	Off
10 Jul 2026	1,988 GBP	1.6%	1,917 GBP	2,153 GBP	1.12	-7.78	4.7M	Off
3 Jul 2026	1,957 GBP	-1.1%	1,921 GBP	2,153 GBP	0.95	-11.14	9.4M	Off
26 Jun 2026	1,978 GBP	5.0%	1,927 GBP	2,153 GBP	0.57	-9.16	1.4M	Off
19 Jun 2026	1,885 GBP	-3.1%	1,932 GBP	2,153 GBP	0.33	-12.63	3.5M	Off
12 Jun 2026	1,946 GBP	4.4%	1,941 GBP	2,153 GBP	0.05	-11.14	986.0K	Off
5 Jun 2026	1,864 GBP	2.3%	1,951 GBP	2,153 GBP	-0.13	-14.41	935.8K	Off
29 May 2026	1,822 GBP	-0.8%	1,966 GBP	2,153 GBP	-0.21	-17.10	6.2M	Off
22 May 2026	1,836 GBP	2.3%	1,981 GBP	2,153 GBP	-0.21	-17.41	2.4M	Off
15 May 2026	1,794 GBP	-1.4%	1,995 GBP	2,153 GBP	0.02	-17.62	6.3M	Off
8 May 2026	1,820 GBP	-0.7%	2,006 GBP	2,154 GBP	0.07	-17.28	3.3M	Off
1 May 2026	1,833 GBP	-0.5%	2,015 GBP	2,155 GBP	0.10	-18.19	4.8M	Off

How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.