NTCT NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

NetScout Systems Inc · Technology · Software - Infrastructure

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Latest close 40.67 USD
1.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a -0.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 65 out of 100
Latest Close 40.67 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.7% latest completed week
4W Return -0.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 4.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 96.2% 50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 50-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 11 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.7% Latest completed week; four-week move -0.6%. Indicator stack 98/44 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.13% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 50/100 conviction; expected move 12.1%. News sentiment 55/100 56 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a -0.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9412-week average 0.99

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.94Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1111 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 11 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.6% over four weeks, 4.0% over 12 weeks, and 95.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 50 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.7%
4W-0.6%
12W4.0%
26W46.2%
52W95.8%
Active trend streak50 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.07Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-91.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership21.18Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength70/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Value32/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Quality80/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Momentum93/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Growth79/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
29.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
13.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
78.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
13.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
35.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
4.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
36.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-3.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

NTCT shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 12.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction50/100
Expected move12.1%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation2
Volatility75
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 11

9 acquisitions and 11 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

18 positive · 35 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move12.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.0%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-5.4%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+1.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses2
Recent vol5.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape70/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 70/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis82/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.94; 11 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.13%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.13% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors68/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 22; Small Cap Core rank 69 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options35/100

NTCT shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 12.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 12.1% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

Vanguard Capital Management (NTCT) reports 3.59M NetScout shares, 5.01% ownership Insiders9 / 11

9 acquisitions and 11 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202640.67 USD1.7%34.75 USD24.98 USD0.0721.182.2MOn
24 Jul 202640.00 USD-3.1%34.29 USD24.90 USD0.3520.862.5MOn
17 Jul 202641.30 USD-5.4%33.88 USD24.82 USD0.7523.732.9MOn
10 Jul 202643.68 USD6.7%33.44 USD24.75 USD0.8826.343.3MOn
3 Jul 202640.93 USD-1.6%32.90 USD24.66 USD0.9121.512.6MOn
26 Jun 202641.59 USD4.8%32.43 USD24.59 USD1.1325.183.9MOn
19 Jun 202639.67 USD-4.2%31.94 USD24.53 USD1.1714.683.4MOn
12 Jun 202641.42 USD2.0%31.49 USD24.46 USD1.2923.382.7MOn
5 Jun 202640.59 USD-2.5%31.02 USD24.38 USD1.3824.374.5MOn
29 May 202641.62 USD1.5%30.62 USD24.32 USD1.4022.472.6MOn
22 May 202641.01 USD6.6%30.16 USD24.25 USD1.3724.802.5MOn
15 May 202638.46 USD-1.6%29.69 USD24.19 USD1.3619.073.3MOn
8 May 202639.09 USD15.0%29.27 USD24.14 USD1.3621.113.4MOn
1 May 202633.98 USD2.2%28.82 USD24.08 USD1.3111.572.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.