- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
COF
MEX
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Capital One Financial Corporation · Financial Services · Credit Services
Latest close
3,590 MXN
2.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 36.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a 0.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
36
out of 100
Latest Close
3,590 MXN
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
2.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
8.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
44.2%
23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 31.50% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.6%.
Indicator stack
24/73
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 31.50%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
51/100
55 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 36.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a 0.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.0x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2012-week average 0.08
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.20Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.6% over four weeks, 8.3% over 12 weeks, and -11.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.96Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change66.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.92Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change29.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.
9 positive · 43 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-20.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher9 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.4%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-7.1%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+2.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains6
Flat weeks5
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Financial Services
4-week rank38 / 80
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth41.3%
Trend41.2%active weekly trend signals
MD70.0%positive activity pressure
RS42.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Credit Services
4-week rank5 / 13
Group average-1.2%
Trend breadth15.4%
Trend15.4%active weekly trend signals
MD69.2%positive activity pressure
RS15.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape33/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis22/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.20; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 31.50%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 31.50% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.
Morgan Stanley Adjusts Arch Capital Price Target to $111 From $110 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3,590 MXN | 2.4% | 3,488 MXN | 3,152 MXN | 0.96 | -6.92 | 5 | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3,507 MXN | -3.3% | 3,514 MXN | 3,141 MXN | 1.04 | -8.86 | 1.2K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3,625 MXN | 1.6% | 3,546 MXN | 3,131 MXN | 1.03 | -6.70 | 21 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3,567 MXN | 0.0% | 3,565 MXN | 3,121 MXN | 0.89 | -8.55 | 0 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3,567 MXN | -0.1% | 3,586 MXN | 3,110 MXN | 0.57 | -9.88 | 4.3K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3,570 MXN | 5.2% | 3,608 MXN | 3,099 MXN | 0.22 | -10.49 | 72 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3,394 MXN | 10.4% | 3,622 MXN | 3,089 MXN | -0.08 | -15.95 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3,074 MXN | -3.1% | 3,632 MXN | 3,080 MXN | -0.25 | -24.57 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3,171 MXN | -0.9% | 3,662 MXN | 3,072 MXN | -0.27 | -20.57 | 0 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 3,200 MXN | 0.0% | 3,692 MXN | 3,064 MXN | -0.34 | -23.12 | 13 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 3,199 MXN | -1.9% | 3,722 MXN | 3,054 MXN | -0.43 | -23.33 | 165 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 3,260 MXN | -1.7% | 3,751 MXN | 3,044 MXN | -0.65 | -21.93 | 15 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 3,316 MXN | -1.0% | 3,771 MXN | 3,034 MXN | -0.85 | -23.06 | 60 | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 3,349 MXN | -0.0% | 3,792 MXN | 3,023 MXN | -1.00 | -20.40 | 105 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.