NXDT NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund · Real Estate · Reit - Diversified

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Latest close 4.52 USD
-16.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -2.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 60.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -16.9%, after a -15.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 54/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 12d.

Setup score 54 out of 100
Latest Close 4.52 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -16.9% latest completed week
4W Return -15.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -8.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 57.7% 30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 26-week active streak.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -16.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -15.7%. Indicator stack 77/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 54/100 conviction; expected move 17.4%. News sentiment 52/100 36 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 12d Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -2.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 60.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -16.9%, after a -15.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7912-week average 0.75

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.79Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -15.7% over four weeks, -8.5% over 12 weeks, and 21.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 26 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-16.9%
4W-15.7%
12W-8.5%
26W0.5%
52W21.2%
Active trend streak26 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.17Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change597.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.00Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-83.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength25/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Value32/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Quality18/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Momentum73/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Growth17/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
8.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
0.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
80.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-331.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
3.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-8.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-9.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
11.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-9.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-3.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

NXDT shows volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 17.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction54/100
Expected move17.4%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation15
Volatility91
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity11 / 9

11 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 36 relevant articles.

8 positive · 25 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings12dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move17.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.6%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-16.9%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-16.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses6
Recent vol8.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.3% / -5.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape63/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 63/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis88/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.79; No reversal markers Factors34/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 86; Small Cap Core rank 74 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options36/100

NXDT shows volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 17.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 17.4% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 36 relevant articles.

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust Announces Quarterly Distribution Insiders11 / 9

11 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings12d

Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20264.52 USD-16.9%4.63 USD4.43 USD0.174.001.1MOn
24 Jul 20265.44 USD-3.2%4.59 USD4.45 USD0.4626.53672.6KOn
17 Jul 20265.62 USD8.1%4.53 USD4.47 USD0.3930.28893.7KOn
10 Jul 20265.20 USD-3.0%4.46 USD4.49 USD0.0319.14539.8KOn
3 Jul 20265.36 USD12.4%4.39 USD4.51 USD0.0224.49711.7KOn
26 Jun 20264.77 USD5.3%4.30 USD4.53 USD0.0213.441.0MOn
19 Jun 20264.53 USD-8.1%4.23 USD4.56 USD0.175.33587.5KOn
12 Jun 20264.93 USD-4.6%4.17 USD4.58 USD0.3015.86376.1KOn
5 Jun 20265.17 USD-3.2%4.09 USD4.59 USD0.2522.65690.0KOn
29 May 20265.34 USD15.6%4.00 USD4.61 USD0.1924.041.2MOn
22 May 20264.62 USD1.3%3.92 USD4.63 USD0.149.22857.2KOn
15 May 20264.56 USD-7.6%3.87 USD4.64 USD0.219.20751.4KOn
8 May 20264.94 USD-3.2%3.82 USD4.66 USD0.2818.97717.0KOn
1 May 20265.10 USD2.1%3.75 USD4.67 USD0.2126.47802.0KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.