- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.48% based on similar historical setup states.
SAAB-B
STO
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Saab AB (publ) · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Latest close
597.9 SEK
1.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 50.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 6.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.
Setup score
52
out of 100
Latest Close
597.9 SEK
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
1.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
11.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
63.5%
33 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.2%.
Indicator stack
35/67
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.48%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
53/100
5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 50.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 6.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1012-week average 0.17
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.2% over four weeks, 11.1% over 12 weeks, and 14.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year33
Trend breadth63.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.35Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change138.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.21Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change60.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
1 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-20.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.5%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-10.3%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+1.8%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses7
Recent vol6.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.6% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorSE Industrials
4-week rank21 / 100
Group average0.3%
Trend breadth39.0%
Trend39.0%active weekly trend signals
MD52.0%positive activity pressure
RS26.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustrySE Aerospace & Defense
4-week rank2 / 11
Group average-9.7%
Trend breadth9.1%
Trend9.1%active weekly trend signals
MD45.5%positive activity pressure
RS9.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape48/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 48/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis14/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.10; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.48%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.48% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
Saab AB (publ) (SAABY) stock price, news, quote and history Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 597.9 SEK | 1.8% | 599.1 SEK | 360.3 SEK | 0.35 | -4.21 | 9.5M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 587.4 SEK | 3.6% | 597.8 SEK | 357.3 SEK | 0.12 | -4.72 | 7.7M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 567.0 SEK | 3.8% | 595.8 SEK | 354.4 SEK | -0.36 | -6.67 | 7.3M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 546.5 SEK | -2.9% | 593.9 SEK | 351.7 SEK | -0.64 | -11.26 | 9.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 562.8 SEK | 15.5% | 592.5 SEK | 349.1 SEK | -0.90 | -10.73 | 8.9M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 487.4 SEK | -3.2% | 590.1 SEK | 346.4 SEK | -1.19 | -20.58 | 1.1M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 503.4 SEK | -3.5% | 589.6 SEK | 344.2 SEK | -1.02 | -19.01 | 8.2M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 521.6 SEK | -1.3% | 588.8 SEK | 341.9 SEK | -1.06 | -14.68 | 1.4M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 528.4 SEK | -7.2% | 588.9 SEK | 339.5 SEK | -1.07 | -13.80 | 821.1K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 569.3 SEK | 7.4% | 588.5 SEK | 337.0 SEK | -1.07 | -8.06 | 7.8M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 529.9 SEK | 9.8% | 586.9 SEK | 334.3 SEK | -1.23 | -14.75 | 6.5M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 482.8 SEK | -10.3% | 586.6 SEK | 331.9 SEK | -1.21 | -19.67 | 7.3M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 538.0 SEK | -3.9% | 585.9 SEK | 329.7 SEK | -1.18 | -11.71 | 7.5M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 560.0 SEK | -0.9% | 585.5 SEK | 327.2 SEK | -1.10 | -7.77 | 4.1M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.