CMRC NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Commerce.com, Inc. · Technology · Software - Application

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 3.13 USD
15.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 22.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 15.5%, after a -0.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 30 out of 100
Latest Close 3.13 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 15.5% latest completed week
4W Return -0.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 17 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.11% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 15.5% Latest completed week; four-week move -0.6%. Indicator stack 0/50 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 41.11% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 52/100 conviction; expected move 25.9%. News sentiment 56/100 20 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 22.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 15.5%, after a -0.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
1 Aug 8 Aug 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0912-week average 0.04

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.09Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.6% over four weeks, 1.0% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W15.5%
4W-0.6%
12W1.0%
26W-
52W-
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 76% Model confidence 73%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength66/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Value57/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 44; rank 1 is best.
Quality56/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Momentum58/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
Growth58/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
39.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
17.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
77.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-1.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
16.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-1.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
58.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-1.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-1.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
12.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

CMRC shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 25.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction52/100
Expected move25.9%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation1
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.

5 positive · 15 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move25.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-38.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher7 of 169 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.5%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-32.0%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+15.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains1
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses5
Recent vol8.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split7/9Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.2% / -8.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape26/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 26/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis10/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.09; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.11%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.11% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors59/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 50; Buyback Yield rank 78; Small Cap Core rank 49 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options35/100

CMRC shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 25.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 25.9% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.

Pale Fire Capital SE Buys 2,203,169 Shares of Commerce.com, Inc. $CMRC Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20263.13 USD15.5%-3.13 USD0.00-3.1MOff
24 Jul 20262.71 USD-10.9%-3.13 USD0.00-2.6MOff
17 Jul 20263.04 USD-2.6%-3.16 USD0.00-2.8MOff
10 Jul 20263.12 USD-1.0%-3.17 USD0.00-2.5MOff
3 Jul 20263.15 USD8.2%-3.18 USD0.00-2.4MOff
26 Jun 20262.91 USD6.2%-3.18 USD0.00-4.5MOff
19 Jun 20262.74 USD1.5%-3.20 USD0.00-2.9MOff
12 Jun 20262.70 USD-4.3%-3.25 USD0.00-2.9MOff
5 Jun 20262.82 USD-9.9%-3.31 USD0.00-3.7MOff
29 May 20263.13 USD5.0%-3.37 USD0.00-2.7MOff
22 May 20262.98 USD9.6%-3.41 USD0.00-3.4MOff
15 May 20262.72 USD-12.3%-3.48 USD0.00-5.1MOff
8 May 20263.10 USD-1.3%-3.63 USD0.00-6.8MOff
1 May 20263.14 USD4.7%-3.76 USD0.00-3.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.