NTRS NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Northern Trust Corporation · Financial Services · Asset Management

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Latest close 182.2 USD
0.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.9%, after a 3.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 81d.

Setup score 75 out of 100
Latest Close 182.2 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.9% latest completed week
4W Return 3.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 14.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 58-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 18 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.2%. Indicator stack 100/76 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 58.70% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bearish 43/100 conviction; expected move 4.9%. News sentiment 55/100 55 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 81d Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.9%, after a 3.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9512-week average 0.83

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.95Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1818 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 18 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.2% over four weeks, 14.1% over 12 weeks, and 46.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 58 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.9%
4W3.2%
12W14.1%
26W23.2%
52W46.7%
Active trend streak58 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.35Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change20.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership15.27Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change66.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength99/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Value95/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Quality90/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Momentum82/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Growth34/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
9.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
6.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
25.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
59.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
19.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
36.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
29.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
5.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
7.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-9.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

NTRS shows bearish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 6.94, expected move of 4.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction43/100
Expected move4.9%
Put/call volume6.94
Pressure-68
Speculation8
Volatility36
Trend agreement35
Open options detail
Insider activity14 / 6

14 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

17 positive · 36 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings81dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move4.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.0%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-3.8%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+0.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses0
Recent vol2.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -1.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape78/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 78/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis81/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.95; 18 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.70%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.70% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors91/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Cornerstone Growth rank 26; Buyback Yield rank 10 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options39/100

NTRS shows bearish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 6.94, expected move of 4.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 4.9% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

Northern Trust: Favorable Macro Conditions Still Amplifying Results (NASDAQ:NTRS) Insiders14 / 6

14 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings81d

Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow2 items

2 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026182.2 USD0.9%157.9 USD106.8 USD1.3515.275.0MOn
24 Jul 2026180.5 USD-2.3%156.5 USD106.1 USD1.3015.227.9MOn
17 Jul 2026184.7 USD0.6%155.1 USD105.4 USD1.2016.374.9MOn
10 Jul 2026183.6 USD4.0%153.5 USD104.7 USD1.0911.244.2MOn
3 Jul 2026176.5 USD1.5%152.0 USD103.9 USD1.129.183.1MOn
26 Jun 2026173.9 USD1.0%150.5 USD103.2 USD1.108.625.5MOn
19 Jun 2026172.1 USD-1.3%149.0 USD102.5 USD1.082.895.4MOn
12 Jun 2026174.3 USD2.3%147.4 USD101.8 USD1.047.236.2MOn
5 Jun 2026170.5 USD3.5%145.8 USD101.2 USD0.847.654.7MOn
29 May 2026164.7 USD-1.4%144.4 USD100.5 USD0.70-0.336.2MOn
22 May 2026167.0 USD2.4%143.1 USD99.88 USD0.694.194.5MOn
15 May 2026163.1 USD2.2%141.7 USD99.23 USD0.723.274.6MOn
8 May 2026159.7 USD-2.5%140.3 USD98.60 USD0.621.024.5MOn
1 May 2026163.7 USD0.3%139.1 USD97.98 USD0.499.507.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.