- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 60.85% based on similar historical setup states.
TAH
NZE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Third Age Health Services Limited · Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities
Latest close
4.47 NZD
-1.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 12.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.1%, after a -2.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
33
out of 100
Latest Close
4.47 NZD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-1.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-10.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
53.8%
28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.6%.
Indicator stack
30/36
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 60.85%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
53/100
9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 12.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.1%, after a -2.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0312-week average 0.16
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.6% over four weeks, -10.7% over 12 weeks, and 0.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.88Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change21.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.25Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-39.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
1 positive · 8 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-39.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher11 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.2%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-7.7%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week-1.1%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains8
Flat weeks2
Modest losses12
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.3% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorNZ Healthcare
4-week rank12 / 14
Group average7.0%
Trend breadth42.9%
Trend42.9%active weekly trend signals
MD85.7%positive activity pressure
RS57.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryNZ Medical Care Facilities
4-week rank5 / 6
Group average2.4%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD83.3%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape33/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis14/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.85%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.85% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
Third Age Health Sets Virtual 2026 AGM, Backs Re‑Election of Key Director Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4.47 NZD | -1.1% | 4.80 NZD | 2.98 NZD | -0.88 | -11.25 | 4.3K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4.52 NZD | -1.7% | 4.84 NZD | 2.96 NZD | -0.80 | -10.84 | 2.7K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.60 NZD | 0.0% | 4.87 NZD | 2.94 NZD | -0.89 | -8.75 | 6.1K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.60 NZD | 0.2% | 4.92 NZD | 2.92 NZD | -1.01 | -9.25 | 9.8K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.59 NZD | 4.3% | 5.01 NZD | 2.90 NZD | -1.12 | -8.08 | 2.0K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4.40 NZD | -3.3% | 5.10 NZD | 2.88 NZD | -1.00 | -10.77 | 298 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4.55 NZD | -1.3% | 5.17 NZD | 2.86 NZD | -0.70 | -7.46 | 106 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.61 NZD | -3.2% | 5.20 NZD | 2.83 NZD | -0.47 | -5.20 | 533 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.76 NZD | 0.0% | 5.23 NZD | 2.81 NZD | -0.27 | 0.01 | 1.3K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.76 NZD | -2.0% | 5.24 NZD | 2.79 NZD | -0.18 | -0.17 | 19.4K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.86 NZD | 0.0% | 5.23 NZD | 2.77 NZD | -0.23 | 4.49 | 10.0K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.86 NZD | -3.0% | 5.22 NZD | 2.74 NZD | -0.20 | 5.43 | 6.5K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 5.01 NZD | 0.6% | 5.21 NZD | 2.72 NZD | -0.31 | 7.75 | 4.5K | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 4.98 NZD | 1.4% | 5.19 NZD | 2.70 NZD | -0.51 | 9.24 | 783 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.