MIDD NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Middleby Corp · Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

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Latest close 133.6 USD
-0.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.2%, after a 18.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 35/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 60 out of 100
Latest Close 133.6 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.2% latest completed week
4W Return 18.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 26.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 42.3% 22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 13-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.83% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.2% Latest completed week; four-week move 18.7%. Indicator stack 68/73 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 43.83% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 35/100 conviction; expected move 8.4%. News sentiment 54/100 59 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.2%, after a 18.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8412-week average 0.51

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.84Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 18.7% over four weeks, 26.2% over 12 weeks, and 46.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 13 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.2%
4W18.7%
12W26.2%
26W41.2%
52W46.6%
Active trend streak13 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.24Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change6.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership28.65Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change387.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength25/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Value30/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Quality17/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Momentum77/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Growth20/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
6569.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
38.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-3.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
16.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-2.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-4.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-18.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
17.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
17.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1452.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

MIDD shows mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.00, expected move of 8.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction35/100
Expected move8.4%
Put/call volume1.00
Pressure0
Speculation17
Volatility65
Trend agreement96
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 1

0 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

19 positive · 36 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.5%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-12.8%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-0.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol8.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.5% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape56/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis64/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 6/12.

Activity pressure 0.84; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.83%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.83% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors34/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 3; Small Cap Core rank 64 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options59/100

MIDD shows mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.00, expected move of 8.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 8.4% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

The Middleby Corporation $MIDD Shares Sold by Turtle Creek Asset Management Inc. Insiders0 / 1

0 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026133.6 USD-0.2%102.7 USD91.89 USD1.2428.652.2MOn
24 Jul 2026133.9 USD0.5%101.5 USD91.62 USD1.2530.132.2MOn
17 Jul 2026133.2 USD-1.8%100.2 USD91.39 USD1.3627.833.1MOn
10 Jul 2026135.7 USD20.5%98.96 USD91.13 USD1.4725.144.0MOn
3 Jul 2026112.6 USD1.0%97.60 USD90.85 USD1.175.882.6MOn
26 Jun 2026111.4 USD0.6%96.55 USD90.72 USD0.945.524.3MOn
19 Jun 2026110.7 USD8.7%95.37 USD90.62 USD0.55-0.034.5MOn
12 Jun 2026101.9 USD2.3%94.20 USD90.49 USD0.07-5.852.5MOn
5 Jun 202699.58 USD-0.1%93.33 USD90.43 USD-0.11-6.222.7MOn
29 May 202699.63 USD4.7%92.65 USD90.37 USD-0.01-10.832.4MOn
22 May 202695.18 USD3.1%92.00 USD90.31 USD-0.13-12.862.3MOn
15 May 202692.28 USD-12.8%91.66 USD90.25 USD-0.15-15.053.5MOn
8 May 2026105.8 USD18.6%91.45 USD90.24 USD-0.20-3.584.8MOn
1 May 202689.26 USD-2.2%90.68 USD90.14 USD-0.51-14.592.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.