- Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.21% based on similar historical setup states.
GGG
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Graco Inc · Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Latest close
79.50 USD
7.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 31.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.0%, after a 4.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 56/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 84d.
Setup score
45
out of 100
Latest Close
79.50 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
7.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
0.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
38.5%
20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
7.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.4%.
Indicator stack
21/40
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.21%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bearish
56/100 conviction; expected move 5.3%.
News sentiment
55/100
66 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
84d
Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 31.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.0%, after a 4.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0212-week average 0.15
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.4% over four weeks, 0.4% over 12 weeks, and -5.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.70Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change34.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.09Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change29.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 100%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength20/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Value14/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum23/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Growth30/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework57/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 24.1x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 5.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 16.9x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 5.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 52.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 28.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 31.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 25.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 4.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 10.6% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -4.1% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.5% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 2.6% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 4.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBearish
GGG shows bearish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 4.57, expected move of 5.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction56/100
Expected move5.3%
Put/call volume4.57
Insider activity15 / 0
15 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 66 relevant articles.
24 positive · 31 neutral · 11 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings84dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.0%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-5.9%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+7.0%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.7% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.7%
Trend breadth52.0%
Trend52.0%active weekly trend signals
MD53.0%positive activity pressure
RS56.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Specialty Industrial Machinery
4-week rank9 / 72
Group average-7.6%
Trend breadth45.8%
Trend45.8%active weekly trend signals
MD54.2%positive activity pressure
RS40.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape41/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 41/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.02; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.21%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.21% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors37/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 20; Small Cap Core rank 85 SVQF57/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 439.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options41/100GGG shows bearish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 4.57, expected move of 5.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 5.3% Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 66 relevant articles.
Analysts Offer Insights on Industrial Goods Companies: Graco (GGG), Union Pacific (UNP) and FedEx (FDX) Insiders15 / 015 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings84dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 79.50 USD | 7.0% | 82.37 USD | 81.80 USD | -0.70 | -11.09 | 9.8M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 74.29 USD | 0.8% | 82.48 USD | 81.78 USD | -0.99 | -17.74 | 5.8M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 73.70 USD | -1.6% | 82.74 USD | 81.84 USD | -1.00 | -20.13 | 6.0M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 74.94 USD | -1.5% | 83.05 USD | 81.90 USD | -1.03 | -18.23 | 5.3M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 76.12 USD | 0.5% | 83.32 USD | 81.94 USD | -1.06 | -15.69 | 7.9M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 75.73 USD | 1.5% | 83.51 USD | 81.98 USD | -1.20 | -18.56 | 6.0M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 74.60 USD | 0.3% | 83.71 USD | 82.01 USD | -1.14 | -19.52 | 6.4M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 74.34 USD | -1.5% | 83.88 USD | 82.06 USD | -1.03 | -19.83 | 6.2M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 75.45 USD | -0.2% | 84.10 USD | 82.10 USD | -0.91 | -21.16 | 6.9M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 75.63 USD | -0.1% | 84.29 USD | 82.11 USD | -0.81 | -20.35 | 6.6M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 75.72 USD | -2.4% | 84.50 USD | 82.10 USD | -0.67 | -20.07 | 8.8M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 77.59 USD | -2.0% | 84.69 USD | 82.09 USD | -0.59 | -18.47 | 7.0M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 79.19 USD | -2.9% | 84.76 USD | 82.07 USD | -0.47 | -15.36 | 7.5M | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 81.58 USD | -5.9% | 84.91 USD | 82.05 USD | -0.46 | -12.46 | 7.7M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.