CHRD NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Chord Energy Corp · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

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Latest close 140.4 USD
1.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a 23.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 38/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 67 out of 100
Latest Close 140.4 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.5% latest completed week
4W Return 23.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 53.8% 28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 22-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 23.9%. Indicator stack 75/45 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 38/100 conviction; expected move 8.4%. News sentiment 58/100 78 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a 23.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5112-week average 0.81

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.51Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 23.9% over four weeks, 3.8% over 12 weeks, and 38.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 22 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.5%
4W23.9%
12W3.8%
26W42.8%
52W38.9%
Active trend streak22 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.46Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change36.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership16.83Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change291.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength82/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Value82/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Quality25/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Momentum74/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Growth25/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
5.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
35.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
16.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
2.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
61.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
1.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-1.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-9.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

CHRD shows bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.54, expected move of 8.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction38/100
Expected move8.4%
Put/call volume0.54
Pressure33
Speculation4
Volatility65
Trend agreement66
Open options detail
Insider activity10 / 6

10 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 78 relevant articles.

33 positive · 40 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-9.0%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+1.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape64/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 64/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis62/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 8/12.

Activity pressure 0.51; No reversal markers Factors64/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 19; Small Cap Core rank 8 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options59/100

CHRD shows bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.54, expected move of 8.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 8.4% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 78 relevant articles.

Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) Stock Forecasts Insiders10 / 6

10 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026140.4 USD1.5%122.6 USD121.2 USD-0.4616.833.5MOn
24 Jul 2026138.4 USD8.0%121.1 USD121.2 USD-0.6916.054.1MOn
17 Jul 2026128.1 USD9.1%119.4 USD121.1 USD-0.865.943.9MOn
10 Jul 2026117.4 USD3.6%118.1 USD121.1 USD-0.85-6.934.0MOn
3 Jul 2026113.3 USD-2.8%117.3 USD121.1 USD-0.73-8.803.5MOn
26 Jun 2026116.6 USD-5.3%116.8 USD121.3 USD-0.53-5.585.0MOn
19 Jun 2026123.1 USD-9.0%115.9 USD121.3 USD-0.39-4.865.1MOn
12 Jun 2026135.3 USD0.4%114.8 USD121.3 USD-0.067.113.1MOn
5 Jun 2026134.8 USD2.2%113.3 USD121.3 USD0.249.082.8MOn
29 May 2026131.9 USD-8.4%111.6 USD121.3 USD0.462.132.9MOn
22 May 2026144.0 USD-2.1%110.2 USD121.2 USD0.7414.894.7MOn
15 May 2026147.1 USD8.8%108.4 USD121.1 USD0.7319.203.2MOn
8 May 2026135.2 USD-5.9%106.3 USD120.9 USD0.689.644.0MOn
1 May 2026143.8 USD7.2%104.8 USD120.8 USD0.8923.123.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.