VLRS NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Volaris · Industrials · Airlines

Latest close 7.83 USD
2.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 44.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a -14.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 26/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 86d.

Setup score 28 out of 100
Latest Close 7.83 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.8% latest completed week
4W Return -14.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 2.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 51.9% 27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 44.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a -14.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3812-week average 0.24

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.38Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -14.5% over four weeks, 2.0% over 12 weeks, and 36.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.8%
4W-14.5%
12W2.0%
26W-19.5%
52W36.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.18Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-75.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.88Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-148.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength31/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Value33/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Quality15/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Momentum85/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Growth68/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
29.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
9.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
0.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
35.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
0.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
9.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-1.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
5.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

VLRS shows mixed options pressure with a 26/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 12.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction26/100
Expected move12.3%
Put/call volume
Pressure10
Speculation0
Volatility76
Trend agreement55
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 41 relevant articles.

10 positive · 22 neutral · 9 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings86dNext report is scheduled for 26 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move12.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-27.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.0%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-18.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses7
Recent vol8.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.4% / -4.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20267.83 USD2.8%8.18 USD7.20 USD0.18-5.881.6MOff
24 Jul 20267.62 USD-0.5%8.22 USD7.22 USD0.44-7.214.6MOff
17 Jul 20267.66 USD-8.2%8.28 USD7.25 USD0.66-7.002.3MOff
10 Jul 20268.34 USD-9.0%8.34 USD7.29 USD0.880.223.1MOff
3 Jul 20269.16 USD-2.4%8.32 USD7.33 USD0.7712.183.1MOff
26 Jun 20269.39 USD4.7%8.26 USD7.35 USD0.4818.434.3MOff
19 Jun 20268.97 USD11.6%8.20 USD7.38 USD0.0411.473.2MOff
12 Jun 20268.04 USD9.4%8.11 USD7.42 USD-0.431.721.7MOff
5 Jun 20267.35 USD-6.0%8.05 USD7.46 USD-0.71-5.923.1MOff
29 May 20267.82 USD14.0%8.03 USD7.51 USD-0.85-2.102.3MOff
22 May 20266.86 USD5.1%7.99 USD7.55 USD-0.98-12.513.1MOff
15 May 20266.53 USD-15.0%7.99 USD7.59 USD-0.96-15.763.9MOff
8 May 20267.68 USD5.3%8.01 USD7.63 USD-0.89-0.462.0MOff
1 May 20267.29 USD-2.9%7.97 USD7.66 USD-0.91-2.702.3MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.