NVDA NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

NVIDIA Corporation · Technology · Semiconductors

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Latest close 200.8 USD
-2.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 50.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.9%, after a 3.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 42/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 25d.

Setup score 51 out of 100
Latest Close 200.8 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.9% latest completed week
4W Return 3.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -6.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 86.5% 45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 15-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.84% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.0%. Indicator stack 93/0 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 58.84% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 42/100 conviction; expected move 2.1%. News sentiment 54/100 42 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 25d Next report is scheduled for 26 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 50.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.9%, after a 3.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6012-week average 0.67

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.60Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.0% over four weeks, -6.6% over 12 weeks, and 15.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 15 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.9%
4W3.0%
12W-6.6%
26W5.2%
52W15.7%
Active trend streak15 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.61Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-1203.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.83Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change69.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength33/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Value4/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum67/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Growth100/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
31.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
19.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
26.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
74.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
74.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
52.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
82.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
70.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
107.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
64.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

NVDA shows bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.50, expected move of 2.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction42/100
Expected move2.1%
Put/call volume0.50
Pressure36
Speculation46
Volatility29
Trend agreement53
Open options detail
Insider activity11 / 9

11 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

13 positive · 24 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings25dNext report is scheduled for 26 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move2.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.4%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-8.6%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-2.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape53/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 53/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis58/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 2/12.

Activity pressure 0.60; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.84%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.84% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors48/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 31 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options58/100

NVDA shows bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.50, expected move of 2.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 2.1% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

Nobody's Talking About It, But This Business Could Make Nvidia a $10 Trillion Company Insiders11 / 9

11 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings25d

Next report is scheduled for 26 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow3 items

0 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026200.8 USD-2.9%195.0 USD131.8 USD-0.61-2.83705.1MOn
24 Jul 2026206.8 USD2.0%194.6 USD130.8 USD-0.510.52560.4MOn
17 Jul 2026202.8 USD-3.9%194.0 USD129.7 USD-0.33-3.04637.9MOn
10 Jul 2026211.0 USD8.3%193.3 USD128.7 USD-0.07-3.44661.0MOn
3 Jul 2026194.8 USD1.2%192.1 USD127.7 USD0.06-9.25603.8MOn
26 Jun 2026192.5 USD-8.6%191.7 USD126.7 USD0.41-9.63756.9MOn
19 Jun 2026210.7 USD2.7%191.2 USD125.7 USD0.61-5.65645.3MOn
12 Jun 2026205.2 USD0.0%190.1 USD124.6 USD0.80-5.59752.1MOn
5 Jun 2026205.1 USD-2.7%189.6 USD123.6 USD1.05-3.37955.8MOn
29 May 2026210.9 USD-1.9%189.0 USD122.5 USD1.07-4.97788.2MOn
22 May 2026215.1 USD-4.4%188.7 USD121.4 USD1.07-0.12822.2MOn
15 May 2026225.1 USD4.7%187.7 USD120.3 USD1.046.06832.0MOn
8 May 2026215.0 USD8.4%186.3 USD119.1 USD0.821.34731.9MOn
1 May 2026198.2 USD-4.7%185.3 USD117.9 USD0.40-1.00845.0MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.