EME NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

EMCOR Group Inc · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

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Latest close 744.9 USD
0.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 46.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.1%, after a -6.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 56/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 38 out of 100
Latest Close 744.9 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.1% latest completed week
4W Return -6.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -17.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 96.2% 50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.94% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 8 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -6.6%. Indicator stack 53/0 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 58.94% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bearish 56/100 conviction; expected move 11.1%. News sentiment 57/100 62 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 30 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 46.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.1%, after a -6.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6012-week average 0.77

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.60Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers88 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 8 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.6% over four weeks, -17.6% over 12 weeks, and 17.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.1%
4W-6.6%
12W-17.6%
26W7.3%
52W17.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.99Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-1520.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.57Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-165.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength37/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Value15/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Quality74/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Momentum71/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Growth97/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
24.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
15.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
19.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
10.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
7.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
38.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
18.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
27.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-10.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

EME shows bearish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.31, expected move of 11.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction56/100
Expected move11.1%
Put/call volume2.31
Pressure-34
Speculation42
Volatility72
Trend agreement96
Open options detail
Insider activity13 / 7

13 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

29 positive · 28 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move11.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-21.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.9%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-10.8%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+0.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape41/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 41/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis58/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 8/12.

Activity pressure 0.60; 8 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.94%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.94% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors48/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 28 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options50/100

EME shows bearish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.31, expected move of 11.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 11.1% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

EMCOR Group (EME) Stock May Be A Bargain After Strong Cash Flow And Earnings Insiders13 / 7

13 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings30 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.

 Research flow1 items

1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026744.9 USD0.1%777.9 USD481.0 USD-0.99-3.571.7MOff
17 Jul 2026744.2 USD-4.8%773.9 USD477.6 USD-0.74-4.223.1MOff
10 Jul 2026781.4 USD0.9%769.5 USD474.0 USD-0.47-0.821.9MOn
3 Jul 2026774.3 USD-2.9%764.2 USD470.2 USD-0.24-0.131.8MOn
26 Jun 2026797.7 USD-4.6%759.1 USD466.4 USD0.075.432.9MOn
19 Jun 2026836.2 USD1.6%753.0 USD462.5 USD0.128.342.3MOn
12 Jun 2026822.6 USD0.6%744.5 USD458.2 USD0.118.171.6MOn
5 Jun 2026817.4 USD-1.1%737.7 USD454.1 USD0.418.711.9MOn
29 May 2026826.8 USD-2.6%732.1 USD450.0 USD0.727.791.6MOn
22 May 2026848.9 USD-7.0%727.0 USD445.8 USD1.1512.891.6MOn
15 May 2026913.1 USD-0.9%723.7 USD441.4 USD1.3623.261.8MOn
8 May 2026921.6 USD2.0%716.2 USD436.6 USD1.2225.731.9MOn
1 May 2026903.5 USD3.9%707.5 USD431.7 USD0.9827.302.2MOn
24 Apr 2026869.9 USD7.9%699.2 USD427.0 USD0.5924.901.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.