CXW NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

CoreCivic Inc · Industrials · Security & Protection Services

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Latest close 29.90 USD
-4.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 32.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.6%, after a -3.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 51/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 68 out of 100
Latest Close 29.90 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.6% latest completed week
4W Return -3.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 47.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 32.7% 17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 17-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 9 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -4.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -3.6%. Indicator stack 63/72 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 59.09% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 51/100 conviction; expected move 11.2%. News sentiment 53/100 64 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 32.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.6%, after a -3.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9812-week average 0.87

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.98Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers99 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 9 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -3.6% over four weeks, 47.1% over 12 weeks, and 52.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 17 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.6%
4W-3.6%
12W47.1%
26W61.4%
52W52.5%
Active trend streak17 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.33Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-24.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership30.66Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-21.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength42/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Value35/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Quality27/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Momentum86/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Growth95/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework42/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
24.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
22.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
10.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
12.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
6.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
19.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
53.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-8.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
7.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
7.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

CXW shows volatility options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 11.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction51/100
Expected move11.2%
Put/call volume0.01
Pressure100
Speculation1
Volatility81
Trend agreement4
Open options detail
Insider activity1 / 4

1 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 64 relevant articles.

21 positive · 35 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move11.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher19 of 267 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.8%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-11.5%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week-4.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses2
Recent vol5.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape67/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 67/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis78/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 9/12.

Activity pressure 0.98; 9 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.09%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.09% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors45/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Cornerstone Growth rank 20; Buyback Yield rank 8; Small Cap Core rank 38 SVQF42/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 583.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options36/100

CXW shows volatility options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 11.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 11.2% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 64 relevant articles.

GEO Group And CoreCivic Stocks Are Getting Beaten Up Today – Why Such A Selloff? Insiders1 / 4

1 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202629.90 USD-4.6%22.55 USD17.93 USD1.3330.664.4MOn
24 Jul 202631.35 USD2.3%22.19 USD17.80 USD1.5339.215.2MOn
17 Jul 202630.65 USD-3.9%21.79 USD17.66 USD1.6636.124.5MOn
10 Jul 202631.89 USD2.8%21.40 USD17.52 USD1.7640.128.4MOn
3 Jul 202631.03 USD0.8%20.96 USD17.38 USD1.7438.805.0MOn
26 Jun 202630.77 USD6.5%20.55 USD17.24 USD1.7341.218.8MOn
19 Jun 202628.90 USD6.6%20.13 USD17.10 USD1.5730.157.2MOn
12 Jun 202627.10 USD16.8%19.73 USD16.98 USD1.4523.497.8MOn
5 Jun 202623.21 USD10.1%19.40 USD16.86 USD1.336.484.6MOn
29 May 202621.08 USD-2.0%19.19 USD16.77 USD1.32-6.064.2MOn
22 May 202621.50 USD3.7%19.11 USD16.69 USD1.18-3.413.6MOn
15 May 202620.74 USD2.0%19.02 USD16.61 USD1.03-6.606.3MOn
8 May 202620.33 USD-1.2%18.92 USD16.53 USD0.85-8.798.6MOn
1 May 202620.58 USD0.3%18.85 USD16.46 USD0.56-6.192.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.