MCO NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Moodys Corporation · Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

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Latest close 471.5 USD
-7.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 49.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.7%, after a 4.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 45/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 66/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 84d.

Setup score 49 out of 100
Latest Close 471.5 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -7.7% latest completed week
4W Return 4.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 32.7% 17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.14% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -7.7% Latest completed week; four-week move 4.8%. Indicator stack 18/81 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 57.14% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bearish 45/100 conviction; expected move 6.6%. News sentiment 66/100 4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 84d Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 49.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.7%, after a 4.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2412-week average 0.14

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.24Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.8% over four weeks, 3.7% over 12 weeks, and -7.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-7.7%
4W4.8%
12W3.7%
26W-9.6%
52W-7.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.04Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change155.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.49Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change34.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength18/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Value8/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Quality100/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Momentum21/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Growth75/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
29.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
10.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
22.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
71.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
43.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
46.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
30.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
11.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
31.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
25.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

MCO shows bearish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.73, expected move of 6.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction45/100
Expected move6.6%
Put/call volume1.73
Pressure-22
Speculation40
Volatility46
Trend agreement86
Open options detail
Insider activity15 / 5

15 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment66/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 4 relevant articles.

4 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings84dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-13.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.0%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-12.2%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week-7.7%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape45/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis24/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.24; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.14%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.14% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors37/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 23 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options52/100

MCO shows bearish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.73, expected move of 6.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 6.6% Sentiment66/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 4 relevant articles.

Moodys Corp (MCO) Shares Surge 3.1% -- What GF Score of 90 Tells Investors Insiders15 / 5

15 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings84d

Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026471.5 USD-7.7%464.1 USD438.1 USD1.04-8.495.5MOff
17 Jul 2026510.9 USD4.8%465.6 USD437.3 USD1.06-1.894.3MOff
10 Jul 2026487.3 USD-0.7%465.3 USD436.3 USD0.89-8.143.3MOff
3 Jul 2026490.5 USD9.0%465.2 USD435.4 USD0.66-6.673.9MOff
26 Jun 2026450.0 USD-0.1%465.3 USD434.3 USD0.40-12.887.0MOff
19 Jun 2026450.7 USD0.6%466.6 USD433.6 USD0.25-15.245.5MOff
12 Jun 2026447.9 USD-0.8%467.5 USD432.8 USD0.16-15.424.1MOff
5 Jun 2026451.4 USD-0.4%468.4 USD432.1 USD0.13-14.714.4MOff
29 May 2026453.2 USD0.9%469.6 USD431.3 USD0.03-16.954.9MOff
22 May 2026449.1 USD4.7%470.3 USD430.5 USD-0.15-16.995.1MOff
15 May 2026428.9 USD-4.7%471.6 USD429.5 USD-0.37-20.485.4MOff
8 May 2026450.2 USD-1.0%472.9 USD428.8 USD-0.51-16.884.9MOff
1 May 2026454.7 USD-0.1%474.0 USD427.8 USD-0.69-14.595.4MOff
24 Apr 2026455.0 USD0.2%474.9 USD426.8 USD-0.84-14.166.5MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.