- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
HEROMOTOCO
NSI
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Hero MotoCorp Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
Latest close
5,386 INR
7.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 56.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.5%, after a 12.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100.
Setup score
54
out of 100
Latest Close
5,386 INR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
7.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
12.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
1.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
59.6%
31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
7.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 12.6%.
Indicator stack
33/56
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
57/100
33 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 56.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.5%, after a 12.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1512-week average 0.12
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 12.6% over four weeks, 1.2% over 12 weeks, and 27.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.06Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change94.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership3.50Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change155.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 90%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength97/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Value75/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality96/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Momentum84/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Growth78/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework78/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 17.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.1x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 12.0x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 7.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 33.2% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 13.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 15.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 21.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 15.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 31.1% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 109.7% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.0x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment57/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.
13 positive · 19 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.1%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-5.6%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+7.5%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank12 / 100
Group average1.8%
Trend breadth54.0%
Trend54.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS56.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Auto Manufacturers
4-week rank4 / 13
Group average9.3%
Trend breadth46.2%
Trend46.2%active weekly trend signals
MD92.3%positive activity pressure
RS61.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape49/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis19/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers Factors88/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 67 SVQF78/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 350.0 of 1590 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment57/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.
Trade Spotlight: How should you trade Infosys, DLF, Jubilant Foodworks, Hero MotoCorp, Indian Energy... Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5,386 INR | 7.5% | 5,197 INR | 4,495 INR | -0.06 | 3.50 | 4.0M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5,011 INR | 3.6% | 5,211 INR | 4,477 INR | -0.55 | -0.77 | 4.1M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4,839 INR | -0.8% | 5,228 INR | 4,464 INR | -0.97 | -6.04 | 2.5M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4,877 INR | 2.0% | 5,256 INR | 4,451 INR | -0.93 | -4.55 | 3.4M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4,782 INR | -0.9% | 5,288 INR | 4,438 INR | -1.14 | -6.32 | 6.6M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4,825 INR | -1.6% | 5,337 INR | 4,426 INR | -1.37 | -4.35 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4,903 INR | -1.2% | 5,378 INR | 4,411 INR | -1.30 | -2.30 | 461.4K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4,963 INR | 2.6% | 5,411 INR | 4,396 INR | -1.33 | 0.87 | 435.5K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4,835 INR | -1.4% | 5,426 INR | 4,381 INR | -1.32 | -0.27 | 654.5K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4,903 INR | -1.3% | 5,438 INR | 4,367 INR | -1.01 | 0.74 | 3.0M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 4,966 INR | -1.9% | 5,456 INR | 4,352 INR | -1.01 | 1.68 | 2.0M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 5,064 INR | -4.8% | 5,472 INR | 4,336 INR | -1.00 | 4.44 | 2.4M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 5,322 INR | 4.4% | 5,486 INR | 4,319 INR | -0.93 | 7.80 | 6.2M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 5,099 INR | 2.8% | 5,488 INR | 4,300 INR | -0.96 | 4.69 | 2.1M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.